Match Info

Primera Division - Clausura - Round 17

Date: 9 April 2025, Wednesday


	CD Dragón		Isidro Metapán

	1	X	2
	3.9	3	1.85
	3.5	3.3	1.96
	3.67	3.39	2.01	Watch
	3.55	3.28	1.95	Watch
	3.5	3.3	1.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.62 ↓ (4.5)	3.25 ↑ (3.2)	1.95 ↑ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

CD Dragón
25.2%

Draw
28%

Isidro Metapán
46.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.7%

29.1%

50.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.9%

28%

52.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CD Dragón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Isidro Metapán has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for CD Dragón than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with CD Dragón that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Isidro Metapán than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Isidro Metapán could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

CD Dragón - Isidro Metapán Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Isidro Metapán will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Isidro Metapán will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45+1', 1 - 0, Ramirez J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
56', 2 - 0, Medrano Ayarza J. M. ⚽,
72', 2 - 1, Argueta J. C. ⚽,
77', 2 - 2, Urbina M. ⚽,
85', 2 - 3, Amaya J. ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 9 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Clausura ~ Play Offs: )).

Isidro Metapán is Qualified for Primera Division (Clausura ~ Play Offs )

Last 5 head-to-head matches Dragón won 1.

Dragón has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Isidro Metapán is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Isidro Metapán could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Isidro Metapán is a favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Dragón won 3 matches, drawn 9 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 16:24 (average 0.8:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Dragón won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10:10 (average 1.1:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Dragón
El Salvador Primera Division
06.04.25	Fuerte San Francisco - CD Dragón	1:1 ✺
30.03.25	CD Dragón - Alianza San Miguel	1:2 ✺
26.03.25	Águila - CD Dragón	4:1 ✺
23.03.25	CD Dragón - Luis Ángel Firpo	1:4 ✺
15.03.25	CD FAS - CD Dragón	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 TLLLL
- AD Isidro Metapán
El Salvador Primera Division
05.04.25	Isidro Metapán - Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca	2:1 ✺
29.03.25	Cacahuatique - Isidro Metapán	0:0 ✺
26.03.25	Isidro Metapán - Municipal Limeño	0:0 ✺
23.03.25	Once Deportivo Ahuachapan - Isidro Metapán	0:2 ✺
09.03.25	Fuerte San Francisco - Isidro Metapán	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WTTWW

Latest Head to Head

El Salvador Primera Division
12.02.25	Isidro Metapán - CD Dragón	2:1
30.11.24	CD Dragón - Isidro Metapán	0:2
21.09.24	Isidro Metapán - CD Dragón	4:0
04.05.24	CD Dragón - Isidro Metapán	3:1
16.03.24	Isidro Metapán - CD Dragón	2:1
18.10.23	Isidro Metapán - CD Dragón	2:2
23.08.23	CD Dragón - Isidro Metapán	0:0

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