Match Info

Primera Division - Clausura - Round 15

Date: 30 March 2025, Sunday


	CD Dragón		Alianza San Miguel

	1	X	2
	5.25	3.6	1.55
	4.7	3.45	1.67
	4.91	3.43	1.76	Watch
	4.61	3.48	1.77
	4.7	3.45	1.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.83 ↓ (5)	3.48 ↑ (3.33)	1.68 ↑ (1.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

CD Dragón
19%

Draw
26.4%

Alianza San Miguel
54.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18%

27%

55.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.7%

26.6%

56%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CD Dragón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Alianza San Miguel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for CD Dragón than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza San Miguel than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

CD Dragón - Alianza San Miguel Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
19', 0 - 1, Mauricio E. ⚽,
39', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
70', 1 - 2, Mauricio E. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 9 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Clausura ~ Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Dragón won 1.

Recent matches Dragón is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Alianza is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Dragón could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Dragón have a series of guest games.

In this match Alianza is a favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Dragón won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 14 matches and goals 13:39 (average 0.7:2).

Including matches at home between the teams Dragón won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 5:14 (average 0.5:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Dragón
El Salvador Primera Division
26.03.25	Águila - CD Dragón	4:1 ✺
23.03.25	CD Dragón - Luis Ángel Firpo	1:4 ✺
15.03.25	CD FAS - CD Dragón	1:0 ✺
02.03.25	Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca - CD Dragón	0:1 ✺
26.02.25	Cacahuatique - CD Dragón	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.4 LLLWW
- Alianza San Miguel
El Salvador Primera Division
26.03.25	Alianza San Miguel - Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca	1:0 ✺
23.03.25	Cacahuatique - Alianza San Miguel	0:4 ✺
16.03.25	Alianza San Miguel - Municipal Limeño	0:0 ✺
08.03.25	Alianza San Miguel - Once Deportivo Ahuachapan	3:0 ✺
01.03.25	Isidro Metapán - Alianza San Miguel	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

El Salvador Primera Division
01.02.25	Alianza San Miguel - CD Dragón	2:0
27.10.24	CD Dragón - Alianza San Miguel	1:0
24.08.24	Alianza San Miguel - CD Dragón	3:0
24.04.24	Alianza San Miguel - CD Dragón	6:1
25.02.24	CD Dragón - Alianza San Miguel	0:1
29.10.23	Alianza San Miguel - CD Dragón	2:2
03.09.23	CD Dragón - Alianza San Miguel	0:3

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