Match Info

Primera Division - Clausura - Round 20

Date: 23 April 2025, Wednesday


	CD Dragón		Cacahuatique

	1	X	2
	2.65	2.9	2.5
	2.7	3	2.55
	2.78	3.02	2.54
	2.84	3.05	2.59	Watch
	2.73	2.94	2.48
	2.7	3	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.73 ↓ (2.75)	2.99 ↓ (3)	2.54 ↓ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

CD Dragón
33.4%

Draw
30.6%

Cacahuatique
36%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.1%

31.2%

34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.5%

29.7%

36.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CD Dragón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Cacahuatique has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for CD Dragón than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cacahuatique than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

CD Dragón - Cacahuatique Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Cacahuatique (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Cacahuatique (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, Coca D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
57', 1 - 1, Marquez A. ⚽,
74', 1 - 2, Aguila G. ⚽,
76', Calderon K. 🟥,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 10 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Clausura ~ Play Offs: )).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Cacahuatique could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Dragón won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:2 (average 0.7:0.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Dragón won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Dragón
El Salvador Primera Division
20.04.25	CD Dragón - Municipal Limeño	1:1 ✺
13.04.25	Once Deportivo Ahuachapan - CD Dragón	0:1 ✺
09.04.25	CD Dragón - Isidro Metapán	2:3 ✺
06.04.25	Fuerte San Francisco - CD Dragón	1:1 ✺
30.03.25	CD Dragón - Alianza San Miguel	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 TWLTL
- CD Cacahuatique
El Salvador Primera Division
20.04.25	Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca - Cacahuatique	2:0 ✺
10.04.25	Cacahuatique - Municipal Limeño	0:2 ✺
06.04.25	Once Deportivo Ahuachapan - Cacahuatique	0:0 ✺
29.03.25	Cacahuatique - Isidro Metapán	0:0 ✺
26.03.25	Fuerte San Francisco - Cacahuatique	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LLTTW

Latest Head to Head

El Salvador Primera Division
26.02.25	Cacahuatique - CD Dragón	0:2
20.10.24	Cacahuatique - CD Dragón	1:0
18.08.24	CD Dragón - Cacahuatique	0:1

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