The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Fuerte San Francisco 34.4%
Draw 30.3%
Cacahuatique 35.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
32.5%
28.9%
38.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.2%
28.7%
39.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fuerte San Francisco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
Cacahuatique has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fuerte San Francisco than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cacahuatique than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
Fuerte San Francisco - Cacahuatique Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
14', 1 - 0, Gallardo J. ⚽,
45+1', 1 - 1, Gonzalez B. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
69', 2 - 1, Gallardo J. ⚽,
Preview
A dramatic battle between two struggling sides fighting for survival points (ranked 12th and 11th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fuerte won 1.
Both teams have struggled for positive results in recent outings.
Both teams have recently been through a demanding run of away matches.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Fuerte has recorded 1 win, 3 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:9 (averaging 0.4:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Fuerte against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 1:6 goals (averaging 0.3:1.5 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
11
Cacahuatique
17
2
7
8
18:29
-11
13
12
Fuerte San Francisco
17
2
6
9
14:29
-15
12
Last Results with these Odds
Fuerte San Francisco - the odds 2.75 are the expected chance of winning is 32.55%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.
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