Match Info

Date: 12 December 2021, Sunday


	CD Guadalajara		Tarancón

	1	X	2
	1.42	4.1	6
	1.4	3.9	5.5
	1.42	4	5.6
	1.39	4.23	6.31
	1.44	4.18	6.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.57)	4.08 ↑ (3.4)	5.95 ↑ (5.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

CD Guadalajara
63.1%

Draw
21.9%

Tarancón
15%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.4%

26%

17.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.6%

16.4%

27.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CD Guadalajara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in CD Guadalajara's performance.

Tarancón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for CD Guadalajara than the current prediction. (-27.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with CD Guadalajara that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tarancón than the current prediction. (+12.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tarancón could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

CD Guadalajara - Tarancón Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 10).

Guadalajara in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Tarancón is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Tarancón could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Guadalajara is indisputable favorite.

In this match Guadalajara is certain favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Guadalajara won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Guadalajara won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Guadalajara
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
08.12.21	Huracán Balazote - CD Guadalajara	0:0 ✺
04.12.21	CD Guadalajara - San Clemente	1:0 ✺
28.11.21	Azuqueca - CD Guadalajara	0:3 ✺
21.11.21	CD Guadalajara - Miguelturreño	2:1 ✺
14.11.21	Quintanar del Rey - CD Guadalajara	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 TWWWW
- CD Tarancón
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
08.12.21	Tarancón - Villarrubia	0:2 ✺
04.12.21	Illescas - Tarancón	1:0 ✺
27.11.21	Tarancón - Villacañas	3:1 ✺
21.11.21	Manchego - Tarancón	0:1 ✺
13.11.21	Tarancón - Conquense	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
28.11.20	CD Guadalajara - Tarancón	2:0
31.03.19	CD Guadalajara - Tarancón	3:1
11.11.18	Tarancón - CD Guadalajara	2:0

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