The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
CE Europa 40%
Draw 30.4%
Villarreal B 29.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39%
30.9%
30%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.8%
32.3%
28.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
CE Europa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
Villarreal B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for CE Europa than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villarreal B than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
CE Europa - Villarreal B Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Flere J. (G) 2. Rodriguez G. 4. Cano A. (C) 5. Campeny A. 3. Escoruela R. 17. Ghailan A. 8. Babanzilla M. 20. Vacas O. 29. Noureddine K. 9. Mahicas J. 7. Cano J.
1. Gomez R. (C) 2. Budesca D. 4. Sierra I. 6. Spatz L. M. 3. Ortiz E. 26. Gaitan J. 16. Pascual P. 15. Tidiane Thiam C. 33. Bonafe C. 11. Lopez H. 30. Garcia A.
Substitutes
27. Angles Sanchez M. 23. Caravaca T. 28. Fuster M. 11. Gallastegi J. 13. Garcia L. (G) 18. Gonzalez C. 24. Jay A. 33. Mokhles A. 10. Pla A. 6. Sgro M.
24. Arguigue Safsati A. 17. Cabanes P. 36. El Jmili N. 10. Eto'o E. 14. Fores A. 25. Kinareykin Y. (G) 28. Macia C. 21. Rodriguez I. 23. Valou J. 22. Viveros F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
2', 0 - 1, Garcia A. ⚽,
33', Cano A. ↓, Sgro M. ↑,
36', 0 - 2, Gaitan J. ⚽,
45+6', 1 - 2, Escoruela R. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Mahicas J. ↓, Jay A. ↑,
46', Noureddine K. ↓, Caravaca T. ↑,
52', 2 - 2, Escoruela R. ⚽,
57', Budesca D. ↓, Fores A. ↑,
57', Lopez H. ↓, El Jmili N. ↑,
60', 2 - 3, El Jmili N. ⚽,
62', Cano J. 🟨,
68', Escoruela R. ↓, Gallastegi J. ↑,
72', Garcia A. ↓, Arguigue Safsati A. ↑,
72', Gaitan J. ↓, Rodriguez I. ↑,
79', Bonafe C. ↓, Valou J. ↑,
85', Babanzilla M. ↓, Gonzalez C. ↑,
87', 3 - 3, Ghailan A. ⚽,
Preview
The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1).
Europa has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Villarreal B is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Europa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Europa might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Europa won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3.
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
2
Villarreal B
6
4
1
1
12:6
6
13
18
CE Europa
6
1
1
4
4:10
-6
4
Last Results with these Odds
Villarreal B - the odds 3.09 are the expected chance of winning is 30.05%, but this team recently wins 10% of matches with these odds.