The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
CF Montréal 23.8%
Draw 23.5%
Vancouver Whitecaps 52.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
22.3%
22.7%
55.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
21.9%
22.3%
56.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
CF Montréal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
Vancouver Whitecaps has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for CF Montréal than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vancouver Whitecaps than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
CF Montréal - Vancouver Whitecaps Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Breza S. (G) 3. Ceballos B. 2. Neal J. 5. Craig B. 13. Petrasso L. 16. Carmona W. 22. Loturi V. 8. Longstaff M. 17. Sealy D. 9. Owusu P. (C) 14. Rios D.
32. Boehmer I. (G) 18. Ocampo E. 2. Laborda M. 33. Blackmon T. 3. Adekugbe S. 59. Badwal J. 20. Cubas A. 25. Gauld R. (C) 13. Muller T. 77. Diaby Y. 19. Elloumi R.
Substitutes
27. Bugaj D. 33. Gazdov E. (G) 35. Graham-Roache O. 21. Herbers F. 41. Keita S. (G) 24. Morales E. 6. Piette S. 10. Sanchez A. 23. Streit N.
14. Caicedo B. 29. Gherasimencov M. 28. Johnson T. 8. Larraz O. 70. Modesto R. 6. Priso R. 11. Sabbi E. 1. Takaoka Y. (G) 24. White B.
Coaches
Eullaffroy P.
Sorensen J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
9', Badwal J. 🟨,
21', Blackmon T. 🟨,
21', Ceballos B. 🟨,
29', Adekugbe S. 🟨,
30', 1 - 0, Owusu P. (Penalty Awarded),
41', Owusu P. 🟨,
45', 2 - 0, Owusu P. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Cubas A. ↓, White B. ↑,
46', Blackmon T. ↓, Johnson T. ↑,
58', Diaby Y. ↓, Caicedo B. ↑,
58', Elloumi R. ↓, Sabbi E. ↑,
71', Sealy D. ↓, Streit N. ↑,
71', Rios D. ↓, Sanchez A. ↑,
77', Laborda M. ↓, Priso R. ↑,
86', Carmona W. ↓, Herbers F. ↑,
86', Longstaff M. ↓, Piette S. ↑,
90+1', 2 - 1, Sabbi E. ⚽, Badwal J. (A),
90+3', Owusu P. ↓, Bugaj D. ↑,
Preview
First leg result: 1-1.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Montreal won 0.
Montreal is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Vancouver's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Vancouver may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Montreal has had a series of away games.
Recently, Vancouver has had a series of home games.
In this match, Vancouver is the team to beat.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Montreal won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 27:36. (average 1.4:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Montreal won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:9. (average 1.9:1.1).