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Current Win Probability
CF Montréal 40%
Draw 25%
Charlotte 35%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.7%
25.1%
34.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.5%
26.8%
32%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
CF Montréal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
Charlotte has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for CF Montréal than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Charlotte than the current prediction. (-3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
25%
25%
CF Montréal - Charlotte Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Montreal will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Charlotte will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%). Confidence interval (95%) for Montreal: 15.4% – 84.6%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Breza S. (G) 3. Ceballos B. 5. Craig B. 4. Vera B. 13. Petrasso L. 22. Loturi V. 8. Longstaff M. (C) 16. Carmona W. 10. Sanchez A. 17. Sealy D. 14. Rios D.
1. Kahlina K. (G) 14. Byrne N. 22. Kessler H. 3. Ream T. (C) 23. Schnegg D. 17. de la Torre L. 16. Biel P. 28. Diani D. 11. Abada L. 7. Goodwin A. 10. Saint-Maximin A.
Substitutes
27. Bugaj D. 29. Escobar O. 31. Gillier T. (G) 35. Graham-Roache O. 21. Herbers F. 24. Morales E. 6. Piette S. 23. Streit N. 18. Synchuk G.
44. Agyemang M. 37. Aloko R. 13. Bronico B. 35. Cleary W. 20. Coulibaly B. 21. Miller T. (G) 4. Privett A. 25. Smalls T. 9. Toklomati I.
Coaches
Eullaffroy P.
Smith D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
28', Goodwin A. ↓, Toklomati I. ↑,
34', 1 - 0, Rios D. ⚽, Petrasso L. (A),
37', 1 - 1, Abada L. ⚽, Saint-Maximin A. (A),
45+4', Loturi V. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
64', Carmona W. ↓, Synchuk G. ↑,
65', Sealy D. ↓, Streit N. ↑,
68', de la Torre L. ↓, Bronico B. ↑,
68', Abada L. ↓, Aloko R. ↑,
68', Schnegg D. 🟨,
75', Ceballos B. ↓, Bugaj D. ↑,
81', Longstaff M. 🟨,
81', 1 - 2, Toklomati I. ⚽, Schnegg D. (A),
86', Rios D. ↓, Graham-Roache O. ↑,
86', Vera B. ↓, Morales E. ↑,
88', Saint-Maximin A. ↓, Agyemang M. ↑,
Preview
Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 15 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Montreal won 3.
Recent performances by Montreal have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Charlotte is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Charlotte may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Montreal has had a series of away games.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
There will not play in Montreal: Amaya F.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Pereira D.
(Lower-Body Injury)
There will not play in Charlotte: Berchimas N.
(Foot Injury)
John A.
(Upper-Body Injury)
Toffolo H.
(Hamstring Injury)
Westwood A.
(Red Card)
There are questionable in Montreal: Hidalgo B.
(Groin Injury)
Morales E.
(Toe Injury)
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Montreal won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:5. (average 1.3:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Montreal won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).
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Breza S. (G) 
Ceballos B. 
Craig B. 
Longstaff M. (C) 
Carmona W. 
Sanchez A. 
Sealy D. 
Rios D. 
Kahlina K. (G) 
Schnegg D. 
Biel P. 
Diani D. 
Abada L. 
Goodwin A. 
Bugaj D. 
Escobar O. 
Herbers F. 
Morales E. 
Streit N. 
Synchuk G. 
Agyemang M. 
Aloko R. 
Coulibaly B. 
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