Match Info

MLS

Date: 12 July 2025, Saturday

Location: Dick's Sporting Goods Park (Commerce City, CO)

Referee: Fierro R. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	MLS Season Pass
World	EA Sports FC


	Colorado Rapids		Vancouver Whitecaps

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.6	2.63	Watch
	2.6	3.5	2.5
	2.52	3.55	2.68	Watch
	2.59	3.6	2.71
				Watch
	2.62	3.4	2.5
	2.6	3.51	2.69	Watch
	2.3	3.5	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↑ (2.3)	3.52 ↑ (3.5)	2.66 ↓ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Colorado Rapids
37.4%

Draw
26.9%

Vancouver Whitecaps
35.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.8%

26.8%

32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42%

26%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Colorado Rapids has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Vancouver Whitecaps has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colorado Rapids than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vancouver Whitecaps than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10%	50%	40%

Colorado Rapids - Vancouver Whitecaps Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Colorado will win (votes: 1 - 10%). Vancouver will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 19% – 81%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Colorado (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Vancouver (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 - Vancouver (5.16) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Colorado (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Vancouver (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Steffen Z. (G) 4. Cannon R. 6. Awaziem C. 5. Maxso A. 3. Vines S. 23. Bassett C. 20. Ronan C. 14. Harris C. 10. Mihailovic D. 21. Ku-DiPietro T. 9. Rafael Navarro	1. Takaoka Y. (G) 2. Laborda M. 15. Utvik B. 33. Blackmon T. 28. Johnson T. 13. Priso-Mbongue R. 16. Berhalter S. 26. Ngando J. 45. Vite P. 24. White B. 11. Sabbi E.
Substitutes
12. Atencio J. 18. Bassett S. 41. Defreitas-Hansen N. (G) 8. Larraz O. 19. Murphy I. 2. Rosenberry K. 27. Stewart-Baynes K. 77. Yapi D.	59. Badwal J. 32. Boehmer I. (G) 12. Halbouni B. 18. Ocampo E. 42. Pierre N. 14. Rios D. 63. Selemani J. 4. Veselinovic R.
Coaches
Armas C.	Sorensen J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Harris C. ⚽, Mihailovic D. (A), Ku-DiPietro T. (A2)
27', Sabbi E. 🟨,
30', 2 - 0, Rafael Navarro ⚽, Mihailovic D. (A), Harris C. (A2)
41', Harris C. 🟨,
45+3', Rafael Navarro (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Ngando J. ↓, Ocampo E. ↑,
53', Maxso A. 🟨,
62', 3 - 0, Maxso A. ⚽, Mihailovic D. (A),
67', Sabbi E. ↓, Rios D. ↑,
67', Priso-Mbongue R. ↓, Badwal J. ↑,
75', Utvik B. ↓, Veselinovic R. ↑,
79', Bassett C. ↓, Atencio J. ↑,
79', Ronan C. ↓, Larraz O. ↑,
84', Mihailovic D. ↓, Yapi D. ↑,
84', Ku-DiPietro T. ↓, Bassett S. ↑,
84', White B. ↓, Pierre N. ↑,
90', Rafael Navarro ↓, Stewart-Baynes K. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Colorado won 1.

Colorado is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Vancouver has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Colorado: Steffen Z. (Knee Injury) Travis J. (Red Card) Vines S. (Groin Injury)

There will not play in Vancouver: Adekugbe S. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Ahmed A. (Ankle Injury) Bovalina G. (Illness) Cubas A. (Injury) Gauld R. (Knee Injury) Nelson J. (Red Card)

There are questionable in Colorado: Fadal A. (Knee Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Colorado won 5 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 26:27. (average 1.3:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Colorado won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:12. (average 1.6:1.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Colorado Rapids - the odds 2.3 are the expected chance of winning is 40.81%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Colorado Rapids
MLS
09.07.25	Los Angeles - Colorado Rapids	3:0 ✺
04.07.25	Colorado Rapids - Sporting Kansas City	1:2 ✺
28.06.25	New England Revolution - Colorado Rapids	3:3 ✺
25.06.25	Colorado Rapids - Los Angeles Galaxy	2:0 ✺
14.06.25	Colorado Rapids - Orlando City	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LLTWL
- Vancouver Whitecaps
Canadian Championship
09.07.25	Vancouver Whitecaps - Valour	2:1 ✺
MLS
04.07.25	Los Angeles Galaxy - Vancouver Whitecaps	3:0 ✺
29.06.25	Los Angeles - Vancouver Whitecaps	0:1 ✺
25.06.25	Vancouver Whitecaps - San Diego	3:5 ✺
14.06.25	Columbus Crew - Vancouver Whitecaps	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

MLS
05.04.25	Vancouver Whitecaps - Colorado Rapids	2:0
01.06.24	Vancouver Whitecaps - Colorado Rapids	2:1
15.05.24	Colorado Rapids - Vancouver Whitecaps	1:0
27.09.23	Colorado Rapids - Vancouver Whitecaps	2:2
29.04.23	Vancouver Whitecaps - Colorado Rapids	0:0
10.09.22	Colorado Rapids - Vancouver Whitecaps	3:1
17.08.22	Vancouver Whitecaps - Colorado Rapids	2:1

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