Match Info

MLS

Date: 24 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Saputo Stadium (Montreal, QC) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Szpala L. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Canada	13:30	RDS App, RDS, TSN 5
Usa	13:30	MLS Season Pass
International	17:30	Apple TV International


	CF Montréal		Nashville SC

	1	X	2
	6.25	4.2	1.49	Watch
	6.50	4.80	1.42
	5.9	4.55	1.5
	5.9	4.78	1.53
	5.7	4.67	1.51	Watch
	5.75	4.75	1.5
	5.68	4.64	1.56	Watch
	5.4	4.4	1.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.89 ↑ (4.1)	4.6 ↑ (3.9)	1.5 ↓ (1.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

CF Montréal
16.1%

Draw
20.7%

Nashville SC
63.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

22.8%

24%

53.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22%

23.1%

54.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CF Montréal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that CF Montréal's form might have worsened.

Nashville SC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nashville SC's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for CF Montréal than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for CF Montréal, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nashville SC than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nashville SC, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10%	0%	90%

CF Montréal - Nashville SC Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Nashville (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (1.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Nashville SC will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Keita S. (G) 27. Bugaj D. 24. Morales E. 4. Vera B. 28. Radojevic V. 6. Piette S. (C) 7. Pereira D. 18. Synchuk G. 29. Escobar O. 17. Sealy D. 10. Sanchez A.	99. Schwake B. (G) 31. Najar A. 4. Palacios J. 3. Woledzi M. 27. Baker-Whiting R. 8. Yazbek P. 16. Corcoran M. 7. Espinoza C. 10. Mukhtar H. (C) 11. Saad E. 9. Surridge S.
Substitutes
25. Amaya F. 1. Breza S. (G) 16. Carmona W. 5. Craig B. 21. Herbers F. 8. Longstaff M. 22. Loturi V. 13. Petrasso L. 14. Rios D.	6. Acosta B. 22. Bauer J. 2. Lovitz D. 41. Madrigal W. 5. Maher J. 14. Mohammed S. 19. Muyl A. 20. Tagseth E. 1. Willis J. (G)
Coaches
Eullaffroy P.	Callaghan B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
13', Pereira D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
48', Radojevic V. 🟨,
51', 0 - 1, Surridge S. ⚽,
65', Saad E. 🟨,
67', Corcoran M. ↓, Tagseth E. ↑,
67', Saad E. ↓, Madrigal W. ↑,
70', Palacios J. 🟨,
71', Sealy D. ↓, Carmona W. ↑,
76', 0 - 2, Keita S. (Own goal),
79', Espinoza C. ↓, Muyl A. ↑,
79', Yazbek P. ↓, Acosta B. ↑,
79', Sanchez A. ↓, Rios D. ↑,
79', Piette S. ↓, Longstaff M. ↑,
87', Pereira D. ↓, Amaya F. ↑,
87', Escobar O. ↓, Herbers F. ↑,
88', Najar A. ↓, Bauer J. ↑,

Preview

A high-stakes clash as a relegation-threatened team welcomes an elite contender (ranked 15th and 1st in the Promotion - MLS Playoffs - 1/8 - finals).

Nashville is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Montreal won 0.

Recent results have been tough for Montreal (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Nashville is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Nashville could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this matchup, Nashville is considered the favorite to take the win.

Confirmed absences for Montreal: Ceballos B. (Lower-Body Injury) Gillier T. (Upper-Body Injury) Hidalgo B. (Groin Injury).

Confirmed absences for Nashville: Presthus O. (Lower-Body Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Montreal: Sealy D. (Lower-Body Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Nashville: Camara F. (Lower-Body Injury).

In the last 13 head-to-head meetings, Montreal has recorded 1 win, 4 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 7:19 (averaging 0.5:1.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Montreal against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with 2:4 goals (averaging 0.3:0.7 per game).

Outrights of MLS for now

Nashville SC: 15.27%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Montréal
Canadian Championship
21.10.26	CF Montréal - Forge	1:2 penalties ✺
MLS
17.10.26	Seattle Sounders - CF Montréal	1:1 ✺
14.10.26	CF Montréal - Atlanta United	0:3 ✺
10.10.26	Toronto FC - CF Montréal	2:1 ✺
26.09.26	CF Montréal - Cincinnati	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LTLLW
- Nashville SC
MLS
17.10.26	San Jose Earthquakes - Nashville SC	1:1 ✺
14.10.26	Nashville SC - Sporting Kansas City	4:0 ✺
10.10.26	Austin FC - Nashville SC	1:4 ✺
26.09.26	Nashville SC - Toronto FC	2:0 ✺
19.09.26	Nashville SC - Chicago Fire	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

MLS
22.07.26	Nashville SC - CF Montréal	1:0
04.10.25	CF Montréal - Nashville SC	1:1
22.03.25	Nashville SC - CF Montréal	3:0
25.05.24	CF Montréal - Nashville SC	0:0
04.05.24	Nashville SC - CF Montréal	4:1
21.06.23	CF Montréal - Nashville SC	1:0
11.03.23	Nashville SC - CF Montréal	2:0

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