Match Info

MLS

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Saputo Stadium (Montreal, QC)

Referee: Bazakos F. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	Amazon Prime Video, TSN 5
China	QQ Sports
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Italy	Amazon Prime Video
Usa	MLS Season Pass
World	EA Sports FC


	CF Montréal		Nashville SC

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.9	1.96	Watch
	3.5	3.8	1.93
	3.35	3.95	2.02
	3.4	3.88	2.13
	2.96	3.79	2.17	Watch
	3.48	3.86	2.02	Watch
	3.35	3.75	1.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.33 ↑ (3.23)	3.85 (3.85)	2.03 ↑ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

CF Montréal
28.5%

Draw
24.7%

Nashville SC
46.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29%

24.3%

46.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.8%

23.3%

48.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CF Montréal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

The chances for Nashville SC have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for CF Montréal than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nashville SC than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	25%	75%

CF Montréal - Nashville SC Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Nashville will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nashville: 45% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Nashville (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Gillier T. (G) 19. Hidalgo B. 5. Craig B. 2. Neal J. 13. Petrasso L. 22. Loturi V. 29. Escobar O. 8. Longstaff M. 25. Sealy D. 9. Owusu P. 11. Ivan Jaime	1. Willis J. (G) 22. Bauer J. 5. Maher J. 25. Zimmerman W. 2. Lovitz D. 7. Brugman G. 6. Acosta B. 19. Muyl A. 11. Boyd T. 9. Surridge S. 10. Mukhtar H.
Substitutes
4. Alvarez F. 1. Breza S. (G) 10. Duke B. 39. Guboglo Y. 21. Herbers F. 14. Ibrahim S. 7. Opoku K. 3. Pearce T. 40. Sirois J. (G)	12. Bunbury T. 62. Carleton A. 31. Najar A. 4. Palacios J. 3. Schmitt T. 99. Schwake B. (G) 14. Shaffelburg J. 20. Tagseth E. 8. Yazbek P.
Coaches
Donadel M.	Callaghan B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', Maher J. 🟨,
9', 1 - 0, Sealy D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Muyl A. ↓, Shaffelburg J. ↑,
46', Bauer J. ↓, Najar A. ↑,
64', Ivan Jaime 🟨,
65', Ivan Jaime ↓, Guboglo Y. ↑,
65', Escobar O. ↓, Herbers F. ↑,
67', Boyd T. ↓, Carleton A. ↑,
69', Lovitz D. 🟨,
73', Najar A. 🟨,
76', Owusu P. ↓, Ibrahim S. ↑,
78', Acosta B. ↓, Yazbek P. ↑,
81', 1 - 1, Surridge S. ⚽, Brugman G. (A), Maher J. (A2)
90+5', Brugman G. ↓, Tagseth E. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Montreal won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Montreal may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Nashville might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Montreal: Morales E. (Lower-Body Injury) Synchuk G. (International duty) Vrioni G. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Nashville: Corcoran M. (International duty) Gaines J. (Thigh Injury) Meyer W. (Foot Injury) Perez J. (Thigh Injury) Washington T. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Nashville: Knight J. (Thigh Injury) Qasem A. (Ankle Injury)

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Montreal won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 6:17. (average 0.5:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Montreal won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.2:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Montréal
MLS
27.09.25	Charlotte - CF Montréal	1:4 ✺
20.09.25	CF Montréal - New York Red Bulls	0:2 ✺
13.09.25	CF Montréal - St. Louis City	0:2 ✺
30.08.25	Toronto FC - CF Montréal	1:1 ✺
23.08.25	CF Montréal - Austin FC	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.3 WLLTW
- Nashville SC
US Open Cup
01.10.25	Austin FC - Nashville SC	1:2 ✺
MLS
27.09.25	Nashville SC - Houston Dynamo	3:1 ✺
20.09.25	Orlando City - Nashville SC	3:2 ✺
US Open Cup
16.09.25	Nashville SC - Philadelphia Union	3:1 ✺
MLS
13.09.25	Cincinnati - Nashville SC	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

MLS
22.03.25	Nashville SC - CF Montréal	3:0
25.05.24	CF Montréal - Nashville SC	0:0
04.05.24	Nashville SC - CF Montréal	4:1
21.06.23	CF Montréal - Nashville SC	1:0
11.03.23	Nashville SC - CF Montréal	2:0
18.05.22	Nashville SC - CF Montréal	2:1
11.09.21	CF Montréal - Nashville SC	0:1

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