Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 9 - Round 28

Date: 30 March 2025, Sunday


	CP Almería		Atlético Porcuna

	1	X	2
	2.37	3.2	2.6
	2.41	3.25	2.65
	2.33	3.36	2.61
	2.41	3.25	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↓ (2.99)	3.27 ↑ (3.23)	2.63 ↑ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

CP Almería
38%

Draw
27.7%

Atlético Porcuna
34.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.4%

28.2%

41.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.9%

26.8%

43.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CP Almería has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in CP Almería's performance.

Atlético Porcuna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlético Porcuna might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for CP Almería than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with CP Almería that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Porcuna than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlético Porcuna could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

CP Almería - Atlético Porcuna Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
36', 0 - 1, Estrella J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
66', 0 - 2, Pegalajar ⚽,
82', 1 - 2, Lopez J. ⚽,
90+3', 🟥,

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 15).

The competitors look crappy now.

CP Almería could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches CP Almería won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:0

Including matches at home between the teams CP Almería won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CP Almería
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
23.03.25	Motril - CP Almería	4:0 ✺
16.03.25	CP Almería - Torre Del Mar	1:1 ✺
09.03.25	El Ejido - CP Almería	5:1 ✺
28.02.25	CP Almería - Huétor Vega	1:2 ✺
23.02.25	Arenas Armilla - CP Almería	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 LTLLW
- Atlético Porcuna
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
23.03.25	Atlético Porcuna - Real Jaén	0:1 ✺
02.03.25	Malaga B - Atlético Porcuna	6:0 ✺
23.02.25	Atlético Porcuna - Torreperogil	2:3 ✺
16.02.25	Málaga Juniors - Atlético Porcuna	0:1 ✺
02.02.25	El Palo - Atlético Porcuna	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
16.02.20	CP Almería - Atlético Porcuna	3:0

CP Almería - Atlético Porcuna: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide