Match Info

Serie B Superbet - Round 32

Date: 13 October 2025, Monday

Location: Estádio Rei Pelé (Maceió)

Referee: Bauermann G. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+


	CRB Maceio		Ferroviária

	1	X	2
	1.46	4.1	6.25	Watch
	1.49	4.05	6.1
	1.5	4.21	7
	1.56	3.80	6.04	Watch
	1.5	4.1	6.26	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.77)	4.05 ↑ (3.35)	6.33 ↑ (4.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

CRB Maceio
62.2%

Draw
23.1%

Ferroviária
14.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.2%

27.5%

20.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.4%

26.9%

19.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CRB Maceio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in CRB Maceio's performance.

Ferroviária has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ferroviária might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for CRB Maceio than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with CRB Maceio that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferroviária than the current prediction. (+5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	10%	20%

CRB Maceio - Ferroviária Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. CRB will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Ferroviária will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for CRB: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. CRB (votes: 2 - 40%). Ferroviária (votes: 3 - 60%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 - CRB (2.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. CRB (votes: 3 - 50%). Ferroviária (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Matheus Albino (G) 2. Matheus Ribeiro 44. Henri 27. Fabio Alemao (C) 77. Leo Campos 21. Crystopher Ribeiro 22. Higor Meritao 8. Gege 17. Thiaguinho 28. Mikael 97. Dada Belmonte	41. Denis Junior (G) 2. Lucas Rodrigues 22. Ronaldo Alves (C) 13. Gustavo Medina 31. Ze Mario 5. Ricardinho 8. Alencar 35. Netinho 20. Albano 37. Thiago Lopes 92. Carlao
Substitutes
32. Barcelo F. 9. Breno Herculano 7. Douglas Baggio 30. Fernando L. 60. Hayner 5. Lucas Kallyel 18. Rafinha 4. Segovia L. 20. Vinicius Barata 1. Vitor Caetano (G) 42. Weverton 93. Willian Pottker	53. David 14. Eric Melo 27. Hernani 7. Kevin 1. Leo Wall (G) 44. Maycon 29. Tarik 11. Vitor Barreto 4. Vitor Mendes 17. Ze Hugo
Coaches
Eduardo Barroca	Daniel Azambuja

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
12', 1 - 0, Mikael ⚽,
22', Gustavo Medina ↓, Maycon ↑,
25', Thiago Lopes 🟨,
45', 1 - 1, Alencar ⚽, Albano (A),
45+4', 2 - 1, Dada Belmonte ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Thiago Lopes ↓, Vitor Barreto ↑,
53', 2 - 2, Carlao ⚽,
65', Netinho 🟨,
67', Gege ↓, Rafinha ↑,
67', Leo Campos ↓, Weverton ↑,
70', Albano ↓, Hernani ↑,
76', Mikael ↓, Breno Herculano ↑,
76', Dada Belmonte ↓, Willian Pottker ↑,
82', Netinho ↓, Tarik ↑,
82', Alencar ↓, Vitor Mendes ↑,
86', Gustavo Medina 🟨,
90', Higor Meritao ↓, Douglas Baggio ↑,
90+3', Fabio Alemao 🟨,
90+5', Thiaguinho 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 and 16).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, CRB is a strong favorite.

There will not play in CRB: Danielzinho (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Ferroviária: Denilson (Knee Injury) Eric Melo (Injury) Gustavo Jundi (Injury) Juninho (Injury) Ronaldo (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Ferroviária: Thayllon (Injury)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, CRB won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CRB Maceio
Brazilian Serie B
07.10.25	Goiás - CRB Maceio	1:2 ✺
03.10.25	CRB Maceio - Avaí	1:0 ✺
28.09.25	Remo - CRB Maceio	4:2 ✺
24.09.25	CRB Maceio - Botafogo SP	3:2 ✺
21.09.25	Criciúma - CRB Maceio	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WWLWL
- Associação Ferroviária de Esportes
Brazilian Serie B
09.10.25	Ferroviária - Chapecoense	0:1 ✺
04.10.25	Ferroviária - América Mineiro	1:3 ✺
28.09.25	Botafogo SP - Ferroviária	1:2 ✺
23.09.25	Ferroviária - Goiás	1:1 ✺
20.09.25	Avaí - Ferroviária	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
21.06.25	Ferroviária - CRB Maceio	1:0

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