Match Info

Serie B Superbet - Round 28

Date: 24 September 2025, Wednesday

Location: Estádio Rei Pelé (Maceió)

Referee: Policarpo Bento A. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Disney+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
China	K-Ball


	CRB Maceio		Botafogo SP

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.5	5.25	Watch
	1.65	3.4	5.3
	1.72	3.46	5.84
	1.72	3.37	5.26	Watch
	1.69	3.49	5.22	Watch
	1.59	3.65	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.68)	3.48 ↑ (3.4)	5.41 ↑ (5.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

CRB Maceio
55.9%

Draw
26.9%

Botafogo SP
17.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55%

27.2%

17.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.1%

26.7%

17.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CRB Maceio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Botafogo SP has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for CRB Maceio than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botafogo SP than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	16.7%	0%

CRB Maceio - Botafogo SP Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. CRB (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Users Predictions: CRB Maceio will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vitor Caetano (G) 2. Matheus Ribeiro 27. Fabio Alemao (C) 44. Henri 77. Leo Campos 21. Crystopher Ribeiro 8. Gege 10. Danielzinho 17. Thiaguinho 28. Mikael 97. Dada Belmonte	1. Victor Souza (G) 2. Wallison 4. Vilar 3. Edson (C) 6. Jean Victor 5. Jhony Douglas 10. Maciel L. 8. Matheus Barbosa 7. Gabriel Barros 11. Jefferson Nem 9. Guilherme Queiroz
Substitutes
32. Barcelo F. 9. Breno Herculano 7. Douglas Baggio 23. Fabio Henrique (G) 30. Fernando L. 31. Gazao 60. Hayner 5. Lucas Kallyel 18. Rafinha 4. Segovia L. 42. Weverton 93. Willian Pottker	14. Ericson 15. Gabriel Bispo 21. Iago 13. Jeferson 12. Joao Carlos (G) 18. Jonathan Cafu 20. Marquinho 19. Matheus Regis 16. Rafael Milhorim 17. Robinho
Coaches
Eduardo Barroca	Aal A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, Fabio Alemao ⚽, Thiaguinho (A),
43', 2 - 0, Gege ⚽, Matheus Ribeiro (A),
45', Jean Victor 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Jhony Douglas ↓, Gabriel Bispo ↑,
46', Matheus Barbosa ↓, Marquinho ↑,
46', Fabio Alemao ↓, Segovia L. ↑,
69', Gabriel Barros ↓, Robinho ↑,
69', Wallison ↓, Jeferson ↑,
71', Dada Belmonte ↓, Willian Pottker ↑,
71', Gege ↓, Gazao ↑,
74', Maciel L. 🟨,
75', 3 - 0, Danielzinho ⚽, Thiaguinho (A),
77', Jefferson Nem ↓, Matheus Regis ↑,
78', Mikael ↓, Douglas Baggio ↑,
79', Matheus Ribeiro ↓, Weverton ↑,
83', 3 - 1, Gabriel Bispo ⚽, Jeferson (A),
90+3', 3 - 2, Maciel L. ⚽, Gabriel Bispo (A),
90+5', Edson 🟨,
90+7', Edson 🟥,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 10 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, CRB won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

CRB may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, CRB is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in CRB: Giovanni (Yellow Cards) Higor Meritao (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Botafogo SP: Alisson Cassiano (Inactive) Leo Gamalho (Injury) Risso G. (Yellow Cards) Wesley Dias (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Botafogo SP: Gustavo Bochecha (Inactive)

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, CRB won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:6. (average 1.2:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, CRB won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 1.5:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CRB Maceio
Brazilian Serie B
21.09.25	Criciúma - CRB Maceio	1:0 ✺
15.09.25	CRB Maceio - Amazonas	2:0 ✺
08.09.25	Cuiabá - CRB Maceio	1:0 ✺
30.08.25	CRB Maceio - Paysandu	2:0 ✺
23.08.25	CRB Maceio - Athletico Paranaense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWLWL
- Botafogo SP
Brazilian Serie B
18.09.25	Botafogo SP - Operário Ferroviario	1:1 ✺
14.09.25	Athletic Club - Botafogo SP	2:0 ✺
06.09.25	Botafogo SP - Athletico Paranaense	1:3 ✺
30.08.25	Goiás - Botafogo SP	2:3 ✺
25.08.25	Botafogo SP - Vila Nova	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.3 TLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
26.05.25	Botafogo SP - CRB Maceio	2:1
24.09.24	Botafogo SP - CRB Maceio	0:0
17.07.24	CRB Maceio - Botafogo SP	4:1
05.08.23	CRB Maceio - Botafogo SP	0:0
29.04.23	Botafogo SP - CRB Maceio	2:0
20.12.20	CRB Maceio - Botafogo SP	1:0
25.09.20	Botafogo SP - CRB Maceio	1:2

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