Match Info

Serie B - Round 22

Date: 16 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Estádio Rei Pelé (Maceió)

Referee: Willers Lorenzatto L. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	CRB Maceio		Grêmio Novorizontino

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.20	3.30	Watch
	2.20	3.20	3.00
	2.38	3.20	2.95	Watch
	2.28	3.33	3.34
	2.36	3.19	3.06	Watch
	2.20	3.25	3.40
	2.13	3.20	3.48	Watch
	2.22	3.20	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↓ (2.4)	3.22 ↓ (3.35)	3.21 ↑ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

CRB Maceio
41.8%

Draw
29.1%

Grêmio Novorizontino
29.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.9%

27.8%

33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

27.8%

33.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CRB Maceio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Grêmio Novorizontino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for CRB Maceio than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio Novorizontino than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

CRB Maceio - Grêmio Novorizontino Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vitor Caetano (G) 2. Kevin 22. Bressan (C) 33. Lyncon 36. Lucas Lovat 21. Pedro Castro 17. Thiaguinho 8. Crystopher Ribeiro 10. Danielzinho 97. Dada Belmonte 28. Mikael	93. Jordi (G) 2. Madson 5. Sander 14. Eduardo Brock (C) 26. Gabriel Bahia 18. Leo Naldi 6. Luis Oyama 66. Maykon Jesus 10. Romulo 41. Reidiney 11. Robson
Substitutes
45. De Lucca 7. Douglas Baggio 26. Estevao 27. Fabio Alemao 23. Fabio Henrique (G) 18. Geovane 11. Guilherme Pato 44. Henri 32. Hereda 50. Luizao 6. Reverson 20. Vinicius Barata	9. Carlao 3. Carlinhos 31. Cesar Augusto (G) 19. Diego Galo 27. Diego Mathias 35. Hector Bianchi 22. Ivan Alvarino 50. Juninho 28. Marlon 17. Matheus Bianqui 30. Nicolas Careca
Coaches
Fabio Matias	Moreira E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
12', Lucas Lovat 🟨,
39', Romulo 🟨,
45+3', Bressan 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
53', Sander 🟨,
61', Romulo ↓, Juninho ↑,
61', Maykon Jesus ↓, Diego Galo ↑,
66', Lucas Lovat ↓, Reverson ↑,
66', Kevin ↓, Hereda ↑,
72', Reidiney ↓, Matheus Bianqui ↑,
77', Pedro Castro ↓, De Lucca ↑,
77', Danielzinho ↓, Estevao ↑,
85', Robson ↓, Carlao ↑,
85', Leo Naldi ↓, Nicolas Careca ↑,
86', Dada Belmonte ↓, Guilherme Pato ↑,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 8 and 7)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, CRB won 1.

CRB has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Novorizontino has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in CRB: Matheus Albino (Shoulder Injury)

There will not play in Novorizontino: Lucas Pereira (Inactive) Patrick (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in CRB: Fabio Alemao (Inactive) Hereda (Inactive) Leo Campos (Inactive) Luiz Phellype (Inactive)

There are questionable in Novorizontino: Arthur Barbosa (Inactive) Hector Bianchi (Inactive) Renato Palm (Inactive)

We predict that CRB will win today's game, with odds of 2.41.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, CRB won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.2:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, CRB won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:2. (average 1.8:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Novorizontino	31	15	9	7	52:27	25	54
7	CRB	32	15	6	11	49:45	4	51

Last Results with these Odds

Grêmio Novorizontino - the odds 2.8 are the expected chance of winning is 33.31%, but this team recently wins 58% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CRB Maceio
Brazilian Serie B
11.08.26	Avaí - CRB Maceio	0:1 ✺
27.07.26	CRB Maceio - Vila Nova	2:0 ✺
22.07.26	Ceará - CRB Maceio	0:1 ✺
16.07.26	CRB Maceio - Náutico Capibaribe	2:1 ✺
12.07.26	CRB Maceio - Goiás	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 WWWWT
- Grêmio Novorizontino
Brazilian Serie B
09.08.26	Grêmio Novorizontino - Juventude	0:1 ✺
26.07.26	Londrina - Grêmio Novorizontino	1:4 ✺
21.07.26	Grêmio Novorizontino - Criciúma	0:1 ✺
17.07.26	Fortaleza - Grêmio Novorizontino	1:0 ✺
12.07.26	Operário Ferroviario - Grêmio Novorizontino	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
05.04.26	Grêmio Novorizontino - CRB Maceio	1:1
22.11.25	Grêmio Novorizontino - CRB Maceio	3:0
26.07.25	CRB Maceio - Grêmio Novorizontino	4:0
11.08.24	CRB Maceio - Grêmio Novorizontino	0:1
19.04.24	Grêmio Novorizontino - CRB Maceio	2:1
26.08.23	CRB Maceio - Grêmio Novorizontino	1:0
13.05.23	Grêmio Novorizontino - CRB Maceio	0:1

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