Match Info

Serie B - Round 21

Date: 11 August 2026, Tuesday

Location: Dr. Aderbal Ramos da Silva (Ressacada) (Florianópolis)

Referee: Gomes Stefano A. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Avaí		CRB Maceio

	1	X	2
	2.65	3.00	2.70	Watch
	2.65	3.00	2.60
	2.63	3.15	2.65	Watch
	2.94	3.04	2.74
	2.81	2.99	2.68	Watch
	2.85	2.95	2.70
	2.70	2.93	2.72	Watch
	2.70	3.05	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.74 ↑ (2.49)	3.01 ↓ (3.28)	2.68 ↓ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Avaí
34.1%

Draw
31%

CRB Maceio
34.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

28.5%

34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.8%

30.3%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Avaí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

CRB Maceio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avaí than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Avaí, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for CRB Maceio than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	50%	25%

Avaí - CRB Maceio Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Avaí will win (votes: 1 - 25%). CRB will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. CRB (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Avaí (1.78) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Avaí (votes: 2 - 66.7%). CRB (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
94. Bruno Ferreira (G) 2. Wallison 38. Jefferson Maciel 40. Reynaldo 36. Douglas Teixeira 100. Ze Ricardo (C) 8. Luiz Henrique 43. Thayllon 11. Vizeu F. 10. Jean Lucas 14. Daniel Penha	1. Vitor Caetano (G) 2. Kevin 22. Bressan (C) 33. Lyncon 36. Lucas Lovat 8. Crystopher Ribeiro 10. Danielzinho 21. Pedro Castro 17. Thiaguinho 28. Mikael 97. Dada Belmonte
Substitutes
23. Gabriel Cipriano 15. Guilherme Aquino 18. Hyan 1. Igor Bohn (G) 20. Isaias 22. Joao Vittor 7. Leo Chu 9. Leo Gamalho 25. Paulo Vitor 5. Romildo Del Piage 95. Wenderson 56. William	45. De Lucca 7. Douglas Baggio 26. Estevao 23. Fabio Henrique (G) 18. Geovane 11. Guilherme Pato 44. Henri 9. Joao Neto 50. Luizao 6. Reverson 20. Vinicius Barata
Coaches
Aal A.	Fabio Matias

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
13', Bressan 🟨,
34', 0 - 1, Bressan ⚽, Thiaguinho (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Jean Lucas ↓, Leo Chu ↑,
46', Douglas Teixeira ↓, William ↑,
50', Wallison 🟨,
64', Thiaguinho 🟨,
64', Luiz Henrique 🟨,
70', Wallison ↓, Joao Vittor ↑,
70', Crystopher Ribeiro ↓, De Lucca ↑,
70', Danielzinho ↓, Geovane ↑,
77', Luiz Henrique ↓, Hyan ↑,
80', Thiaguinho ↓, Guilherme Pato ↑,
80', Mikael ↓, Joao Neto ↑,
88', Pedro Castro ↓, Luizao ↑,
88', Thayllon ↓, Gabriel Cipriano ↑,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: ) and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Avaí won 4.

Avaí has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

CRB is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

CRB may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Avaí: Allyson (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in CRB: Fabio Alemao (Inactive) Hereda (Inactive) Matheus Albino (Shoulder Injury)

There are questionable in Avaí: Cristiano (Inactive) Hyan (Inactive) Pedro Cuiaba (Inactive)

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Avaí won 11 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 22:12. (average 1.3:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Avaí won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:4. (average 1.1:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	CRB	32	15	6	11	49:45	4	51
17	Avai	32	9	6	17	32:43	-11	33

Last Results with these Odds

Avaí - the odds 2.49 are the expected chance of winning is 37.53%, but this team recently wins 54% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Avaí
Brazilian Serie B
28.07.26	Juventude - Avaí	1:0 ✺
21.07.26	Avaí - América Mineiro	2:1 ✺
17.07.26	São Bernardo - Avaí	1:1 ✺
12.07.26	Avaí - Náutico Capibaribe	2:0 ✺
06.07.26	Botafogo SP - Avaí	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 LWTWL
- CRB Maceio
Brazilian Serie B
27.07.26	CRB Maceio - Vila Nova	2:0 ✺
22.07.26	Ceará - CRB Maceio	0:1 ✺
16.07.26	CRB Maceio - Náutico Capibaribe	2:1 ✺
12.07.26	CRB Maceio - Goiás	2:2 ✺
04.07.26	Londrina - CRB Maceio	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
01.04.26	CRB Maceio - Avaí	0:1
03.10.25	CRB Maceio - Avaí	1:0
07.06.25	Avaí - CRB Maceio	1:0
31.08.24	CRB Maceio - Avaí	1:2
14.05.24	Avaí - CRB Maceio	2:1
11.11.23	Avaí - CRB Maceio	1:1
23.08.23	CRB Maceio - Avaí	1:1

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