Match Info

BRAZIL: COPA DO BRASIL - 1/32-FINALS

Date: 15 March 2023, Wednesday

Location: Estádio Rei Pelé (Maceió)


	CRB Maceio		Operário MS

	1	X	2
	1.3	5.25	11	Watch
	1.26	5	9.5
	1.28	4.8	11
	1.25	4.8	10
	1.31	4.64	9.06
	1.27	4.5	11
	1.29	4.95	12
	1.26	5.2	11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↓ (1.47)	4.89 ↑ (3.85)	10.57 ↑ (6.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

CRB Maceio
72.4%

Draw
18.9%

Operário MS
8.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.1%

23.7%

14.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.3%

22.9%

13.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CRB Maceio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in CRB Maceio's performance.

Operário MS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Operário MS might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for CRB Maceio than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with CRB Maceio that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Operário MS than the current prediction. (+5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	0%	30%

CRB Maceio - Operário MS Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. CRB will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Operário MS will win (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for CRB: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

CRB in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Operário MS is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Operário MS could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently CRB have a series of guest games.

In this match CRB is indisputable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CRB Maceio
Brazilian Campeonato Alagoano
11.03.23	Coruripe - CRB Maceio	2:3 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
07.03.23	CRB Maceio - ABC	1:0 ✺
04.03.23	CS Alagoano - CRB Maceio	0:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
01.03.23	União Rondonópolis - CRB Maceio	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Alagoano
26.02.23	Murici - CRB Maceio	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWTWW
- Operário MS
Brazilian Campeonato Sul-Matogrossense
12.03.23	Operário MS - Chapadão	1:1 ✺
08.03.23	Operário MS - Coxim	3:0 ✺
05.03.23	Costa Rica - Operário MS	3:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
01.03.23	Operário MS - Operário Ferroviario	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Sul-Matogrossense
12.02.23	Chapadão - Operário MS	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 TWLWL

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