Match Info

Date: 12 October 2026, Monday


	Fortaleza		CRB Maceio

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.4	4.75	Watch
	1.77	3.40	4.10
	1.8	3.4	4.1
	1.89	3.59	4.42
	1.78	3.57	4.38	Watch
	1.77	3.5	4.3
	1.76	3.5	4.45
	1.79	3.4	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (2.06)	3.47 ↑ (3.35)	4.33 ↑ (3.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fortaleza
52%

Draw
26.7%

CRB Maceio
21.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.4%

27.9%

26.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.3%

26.8%

25.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fortaleza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fortaleza's performance.

CRB Maceio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and CRB Maceio might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortaleza than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for CRB Maceio than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Fortaleza - CRB Maceio Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

A high-stakes showdown between two teams from the upper tier of the standings (ranked 4th in the Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Playoffs - Final) and 7th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fortaleza won 1.

Fortaleza is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

CRB has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

In this matchup, Fortaleza is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 14 head-to-head meetings, Fortaleza has recorded 7 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 16:13 (averaging 1.1:0.9 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Fortaleza against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 12:4 goals (averaging 1.7:0.6 per game).

Outrights of Brazilian Serie B for now

Fortaleza: 13.79% CRB: 0.3%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Fortaleza	32	15	11	6	37:27	10	56
7	CRB	32	15	6	11	49:45	4	51

Last Results with these Odds

Fortaleza - the odds 2.06 are the expected chance of winning is 45.38%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fortaleza EC
Brazilian Serie B
07.10.26	América Mineiro - Fortaleza	0:1 ✺
02.10.26	Fortaleza - Náutico Capibaribe	1:1 ✺
27.09.26	Fortaleza - Athletic Club	2:2 ✺
20.09.26	Londrina - Fortaleza	1:2 ✺
13.09.26	Fortaleza - Ceará	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WTTWT
- CRB Maceio
Brazilian Serie B
07.10.26	CRB Maceio - Atlético Goianiense	3:1 ✺
02.10.26	São Bernardo - CRB Maceio	3:1 ✺
27.09.26	CRB Maceio - Cuiabá	3:0 ✺
20.09.26	Ponte Preta - CRB Maceio	1:0 ✺
15.09.26	CRB Maceio - Sport Recife	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
21.06.26	CRB Maceio - Fortaleza	1:1
Copa do Brasil
14.05.26	CRB Maceio - Fortaleza	0:0
22.04.26	Fortaleza - CRB Maceio	2:1
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
26.03.25	Fortaleza - CRB Maceio	0:1
09.06.24	CRB Maceio - Fortaleza	2:1 penalties
05.06.24	Fortaleza - CRB Maceio	2:0
11.02.24	CRB Maceio - Fortaleza	1:0

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