Match Info

BRAZIL: Copa do Nordeste - Round 6

Date: 19 March 2025, Wednesday

Location: Estádio Rei Pelé (Maceió)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Premiere


	CS Alagoano		Bahia

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.2	1.91
	3.5	3.1	2
	3.65	3.05	2.02
	3.63	3.1	2.04	Watch
	3.7	2.9	2.1
	3.75	3.34	1.99	Watch
	3.65	3.05	2.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.64 ↓ (4.92)	3.11 ↓ (3.4)	2.01 ↑ (1.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

CS Alagoano
25.1%

Draw
29.4%

Bahia
45.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.5%

26.8%

54.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.3%

26.6%

55.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CS Alagoano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in CS Alagoano's performance.

Bahia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bahia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for CS Alagoano than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with CS Alagoano that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bahia than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bahia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	50%	16.7%

CS Alagoano - Bahia Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. CSA will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Bahia will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Georgemy (G) 3. Betao 10. Brayann 5. Camacho 2. Cedric 6. Enzo 11. Guilherme Cachoeira 21. Klenisson 9. Tiago Marques (C) 8. Vander 4. Wanderson	96. Ronaldo Strada (G) 33. David Duarte 14. Erick 2. Gilberto (C) 25. Iago 37. Kayky 15. Michel Araujo 26. Nicolas Acevedo 5. Rezende 11. Rodrigo 12. Willian Jose
Substitutes
20. Alvaro 18. Danilinho 12. Gabriel Felix (G) 7. Gustavinho 15. Gustavo Nicola 19. Igor Bahia 13. Islan 14. Marcao 16. Marcelinho 22. Ramon 99. Robinho 17. Silas	1. Danilo Fernandes (G) 53. Dodo 83. Frederico 68. Jota 97. Juninho 71. Kaua Davi 63. Martins D. 21. Sidney 77. Tiago 70. Vitinho 20. Yago Felipe 66. Ze Guilherme

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
13', 0 - 1, Iago ⚽,
25', 0 - 2, Erick ⚽,
36', Nicolas Acevedo 🟨,
41', Rodrigo 🟨,
43', Vander 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Klenisson ↓, Marcao ↑,
53', Michel Araujo ↓, Martins D. ↑,
60', Vander ↓, Danilinho ↑,
60', Tiago Marques ↓, Igor Bahia ↑,
71', 1 - 2, Brayann ⚽,
80', Kayky ↓, Tiago ↑,
80', Rodrigo ↓, Yago Felipe ↑,
80', Iago ↓, Ze Guilherme ↑,
86', Brayann ↓, Alvaro ↑,
86', Cedric ↓, Robinho ↑,
90+6', Marcao 🟨,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa do Nordeste (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa do Nordeste (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches CSA won 1.

Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.

CSA could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Bahia will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches CSA won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 9:10 (average 1:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams CSA won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8:6 (average 1.6:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CS Alagoano
Brazilian Copa Alagoas
16.03.25	CS Alagoano - Clube Sociedade Esportiva	1:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
13.03.25	CS Alagoano - Tuna Luso Brasileira	5:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa Alagoas
12.03.25	CS Alagoano - Zumbi	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
06.03.25	Juazeirense - CS Alagoano	2:2 ✺
Brazilian Copa Alagoas
01.03.25	Murici - CS Alagoano	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WWTTT
- EC Bahia
Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
16.03.25	Bahia - Vitória Salvador	2:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
13.03.25	Bahia - Boston River	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
09.03.25	Jacuipense - Bahia	0:5 ✺
Copa Libertadores
06.03.25	Boston River - Bahia	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
01.03.25	Bahia - Jacuipense	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
06.08.22	Bahia - CS Alagoano	1:0
22.04.22	CS Alagoano - Bahia	1:1
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
16.02.22	Bahia - CS Alagoano	1:1
23.03.21	CS Alagoano - Bahia	2:0
19.02.20	CS Alagoano - Bahia	0:2
Brazilian Serie A
01.12.19	CS Alagoano - Bahia	1:2
31.08.19	Bahia - CS Alagoano	1:0

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