Match Info

Baiano - Round 8

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Arena Fonte Nova (Salvador)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, Sky+, TV Brasil, TVE Bahia, Vivo Play, Zapping


	Bahia		Jacuipense

	1	X	2
	1.35	4.55	7.7
	1.33	5.03	10.49
	1.35	4.47	7.74	Watch
	1.3	4.4	8.5
	1.3	5.12	9.7
	1.3	5.33	9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↑ (1.26)	4.82 ↓ (5)	8.86 ↓ (9.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bahia
70.2%

Draw
19.3%

Jacuipense
10.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

72.4%

18.3%

9.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bahia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Jacuipense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Bahia - Jacuipense Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
34. Joao Paulo (G) 8. Caio Alexandre (C) 14. Erick 16. Erick Pulga 27. Everaldo 83. Fred Lippert 2. Gilberto 25. Iago Borduchi 43. Luiz Gustavo 11. Rodrigo 23. Sanabria M.	1. Marcelo (C) 20. Alison Daniel 3. Daniel Costa 8. Gabriel Pereira 22. Hugo Moura 9. Pedro Henrique 6. Ruan 5. Talisca 14. Thiago 21. Thiaguinho 4. Weverton
Substitutes
90. Caio Suassuna 63. David Martins 89. Dell 54. Gerald 78. Joao Coni 68. Jota 57. Kaue Junior 58. Pedrinho 55. Sidney Duarte 61. Victor (G) 67. Wendel Passos 66. Ze Guilherme	19. Adriano 16. David Santana 11. Flavinho 10. Geovani 15. Gustavo 23. Italo Pezao (G) 7. Jarles Baiano 13. Jhones Germano 17. Joao Pedro 25. Sidney Freitas 2. Vicente 18. Vicente

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
6', 1 - 0, Caio Alexandre ⚽,
24', 2 - 0, Erick ⚽,
38', 2 - 1, Thiago ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
52', 🟨,
61', 🟨,
86', Ruan ↓, Vicente ↑,
86', Rodrigo ↓, Jota ↑,
90+2', 2 - 2, Pereira G. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Baiano (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 7).

Bahia is Qualified for Baiano (Play Offs Semi~finals)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bahia won 3.

Bahia is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Jacuipense's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Bahia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Bahia is the obvious favorite.

We predict that Bahia will win today's game, with odds of 1.45.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Bahia won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 30:12. (average 1.8:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Bahia won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:7. (average 2.1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC Bahia
Brazilian Serie A
11.02.26	Vasco da Gama - Bahia	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
08.02.26	Juazeirense - Bahia	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
05.02.26	Bahia - Fluminense	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
01.02.26	Bahia - Porto SC	3:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
28.01.26	Corinthians - Bahia	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WTTWW
- EC Jacuipense
Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
10.02.26	Jacuipense - Atlético de Alagoinhas	2:1 ✺
04.02.26	Jacuipense - Jequié	0:2 ✺
28.01.26	Juazeirense - Jacuipense	0:0 ✺
24.01.26	Jacuipense - Galícia	2:1 ✺
17.01.26	Barcelona de Ilhéus - Jacuipense	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
09.03.25	Jacuipense - Bahia	0:5
01.03.25	Bahia - Jacuipense	1:2
12.01.25	Jacuipense - Bahia	0:0
03.03.24	Bahia - Jacuipense	2:0
02.04.23	Bahia - Jacuipense	3:0
26.03.23	Jacuipense - Bahia	1:1
Copa do Brasil
01.03.23	Jacuipense - Bahia	1:4

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