Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: Copa Libertadores - Qualification - Final

Date: 6 March 2025, Thursday

Location: Parque Artigas (Las Piedras)

Referee: Benitez J. (Par)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	FOX Sports 2
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Brazil	Paramount+
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	beIN Connect
Colombia	ESPN 2
Germany	Sportdigital+
Indonesia	Mola TV
Israel	Sport 3
Italy	Como TV
Mexico	ESPN 4
Peru	ESPN
Portugal	Sport TV1
South-america	ESPN South, ViX Latin America
Spain	beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol
Turkey	Exxen, S Sport 2, S Sport+
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz, Tubi TV
Venezuela	Inter
World	Disney+


	Boston River		Bahia

	1	X	2
	6	3.7	1.6	Watch
	6.25	3.6	1.61
	4.75	3.2	1.83	Watch
	5.46	3.36	1.75
	5.24	3.44	1.76	Watch
	5.5	3.5	1.62	Watch
	6.05	3.73	1.62	Watch
	4.75	3.2	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.5 ↑ (4.56)	3.47 ↓ (3.8)	1.7 ↓ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

Watch this match and Copa Libertadores with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: fubo Sports Network

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Current Win Probability

Boston River
17.2%

Draw
27.3%

Bahia
55.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.8%

25%

54.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.2%

24.3%

55.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boston River has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Bahia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boston River than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bahia than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	10%	70%

Boston River - Bahia Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Boston River will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Bahia will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bahia: 50.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Antunez B. (G) 31. Acosta J. 4. Gomez M. 14. Bortagaray G. 22. Martinez F. 8. Vera M. 21. Lopez G. 32. Barcia B. 25. Chiappini F. 10. Amado A. 99. Adamo V.	22. Marcos Felipe (G) 3. Gabriel Xavier 4. Kanu 21. Ramos S. 46. Luciano Juba 19. Caio Alexandre 6. Jean Lucas 10. Everton Ribeiro (C) 7. Ademir 16. Erick Pulga 17. Rodriguez L.
Substitutes
70. Albarracin A. 9. Anello A. 28. Gonzalez A. 30. Gonzalez M. 33. Hernandez E. (G) 26. Munoa F. 15. O'Neill Lopez J. S. 29. Perez G. 23. Rivero M. 7. Rodriguez F. 16. Silva A. 18. Viera G.	13. Arias S. 8. Cauly 1. Danilo Fernandes (G) 33. David Duarte 14. Erick 2. Gilberto 25. Iago 15. Michel Araujo 26. Nicolas Acevedo 5. Rezende 11. Rodrigo 12. Willian Jose
Coaches
Viera J.	Galbes L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
61', Gabriel Xavier ↓, Gilberto ↑,
61', Erick Pulga ↓, Willian Jose ↑,
68', Lopez G. ↓, Gonzalez A. ↑,
68', Adamo V. ↓, Anello A. ↑,
75', Everton Ribeiro ↓, Cauly ↑,
75', Luciano Juba ↓, Iago ↑,
79', Ademir ↓, Michel Araujo ↑,
82', Amado A. ↓, Perez G. ↑,
82', Barcia B. ↓, Silva A. ↑,
90+2', Chiappini F. ↓, Munoa F. ↑,

Preview

1st leg.

Recent matches Boston River is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Bahia is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Boston River could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Bahia is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Boston River
Copa Libertadores
26.02.25	Ñublense - Boston River	1:1 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
22.02.25	Boston River - Nacional Montevideo	2:3 ✺
Copa Libertadores
19.02.25	Boston River - Ñublense	1:0 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
15.02.25	Peñarol de Montevideo - Boston River	1:1 ✺
09.02.25	Boston River - Montevideo City Torque	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 TLWTT
- EC Bahia
Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
01.03.25	Bahia - Jacuipense	1:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
25.02.25	Bahia - The Strongest	3:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
22.02.25	Bahia - Juazeirense	2:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
18.02.25	The Strongest - Bahia	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
15.02.25	Barcelona de Ilhéus - Bahia	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LWWTW

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