Match Info

Copa do Nordeste - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 20 August 2025, Wednesday

Location: Estádio Rei Pelé (Maceió)


	CS Alagoano		Confiança

	1	X	2
	1.85	3	4.2
	1.7	3.4	4.8
	1.8	2.88	4.85
	2	2.74	4.79
	1.97	3.02	4.23	Watch
	1.83	2.93	4.75	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↑ (1.7)	3 ↓ (3.35)	4.6 ↓ (4.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

CS Alagoano
49.4%

Draw
30.7%

Confiança
19.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.3%

27.2%

19.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.9%

28.5%

18.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CS Alagoano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Confiança has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for CS Alagoano than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for CS Alagoano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Confiança than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	20%	20%

CS Alagoano - Confiança Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. CSA will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Confiança will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Georgemy (G) 14. Diogo Batista 4. Islan 3. Betao 6. Roberto 5. Camacho (C) 8. Gustavo Nicola 22. Ramon 10. Brayann 9. Tiago Marques 11. Guilherme Cachoeira	1. Felipe Scheibig (G) 2. Weriton 14. Valdo (C) 4. Eduardo Moura 6. Airton 13. Renilson 5. Luiz Otavio 10. Vitinho 7. Ronald Camarao 9. Neto Oliveira 11. Breiner C.
Substitutes
7. Baianinho 16. Enzo 2. Felipe Albuquerque 19. Igor Bahia 20. Luciano Naninho 13. Luiz Gustavo 17. Marcelinho 12. Paulo V. (G) 18. Robinho 15. Silas 21. Vander	12. Allan (G) 8. Dionisio 15. Fabricio 17. Fabricio Pereira 16. Guilherme Teixeira 3. Maicon 18. Matheusinho 20. Rafinha 19. Thiago Santos
Coaches
Higo	Luizinho Vieira

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
8', Guilherme Cachoeira 🟨,
12', Ramon 🟨,
22', Valdo 🟨,
34', Islan 🟨,
38', Camacho 🟨,
45+2', Ronald Camarao 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
59', Weriton 🟨,
70', Breiner C. 🟨,
73', Tiago Marques ↓, Igor Bahia ↑,
73', Diogo Batista ↓, Baianinho ↑,
75', Airton 🟨,
75', Vitinho ↓, Matheusinho ↑,
75', Breiner C. ↓, Dionisio ↑,
77', Eduardo Moura 🟨,
78', Roberto ↓, Enzo ↑,
79', Camacho ↓, Silas ↑,
84', Neto Oliveira ↓, Thiago Santos ↑,
85', 0 - 1, Thiago Santos ⚽,
86', Gustavo Nicola ↓, Luciano Naninho ↑,
90+2', Renilson 🟨,
90+5', Ronald Camarao ↓, Maicon ↑,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa do Nordeste (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa do Nordeste (Play Offs: Quarter~finals))

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, CSA won 2.

CSA has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Confiança is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

CSA may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, CSA is the team to beat.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, CSA won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:9. (average 1.3:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, CSA won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 0.7:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CS Alagoano
Brazilian Serie C
16.08.25	CS Alagoano - Ituano	2:2 ✺
11.08.25	Itabaiana - CS Alagoano	1:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
07.08.25	Vasco da Gama - CS Alagoano	3:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie C
02.08.25	CS Alagoano - Botafogo PB	2:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
30.07.25	CS Alagoano - Vasco da Gama	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 TLLWT
- AD Confiança Aracaju
Brazilian Serie C
17.08.25	Confiança - Floresta	1:0 ✺
09.08.25	Ituano - Confiança	1:2 ✺
04.08.25	Confiança - Anápolis	2:0 ✺
27.07.25	São Bernardo - Confiança	1:1 ✺
20.07.25	Confiança - Tombense	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
24.05.25	CS Alagoano - Confiança	0:0
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
21.01.25	CS Alagoano - Confiança	2:1
Brazilian Serie C
27.06.24	Confiança - CS Alagoano	0:1
04.05.23	CS Alagoano - Confiança	0:1
Brazilian Serie B
12.11.21	CS Alagoano - Confiança	0:0
10.08.21	Confiança - CS Alagoano	0:2
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
07.03.21	Confiança - CS Alagoano	2:2

CS Alagoano - Confiança: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide