Match Info

Copa Alagoas - Round 1

Date: 28 January 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estádio Municipal Coaracy da Mata Fonseca (Arapiraca)


	Cruzeiro Arapiraca		CRB Maceio

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.02	2.97
	2.3	3.15	2.92
	2.29	3.05	2.97
	2.2	3.1	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↓ (6)	3.08 ↓ (3.75)	2.99 ↑ (1.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cruzeiro Arapiraca
40.2%

Draw
29.5%

CRB Maceio
30.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.9%

23.8%

61.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.6%

23.3%

62.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cruzeiro Arapiraca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+25.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cruzeiro Arapiraca's performance.

CRB Maceio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-30.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and CRB Maceio might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cruzeiro Arapiraca than the current prediction. (-25.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cruzeiro Arapiraca that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for CRB Maceio than the current prediction. (+32%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that CRB Maceio could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Cruzeiro Arapiraca - CRB Maceio Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Cruzeiro Arapiraca (1.86) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Cruzeiro Arapiraca (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Recent form of Cruzeiro Arapiraca has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

CRB is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In this match, CRB is seen as the favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Cruzeiro Arapiraca won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cruzeiro Arapiraca
Brazilian Campeonato Alagoano
24.01.26	Cruzeiro Arapiraca - Murici	0:2 ✺
21.01.26	CRB Maceio - Cruzeiro Arapiraca	1:0 ✺
18.01.26	Clube Sociedade Esportiva - Cruzeiro Arapiraca	1:2 ✺
14.01.26	Cruzeiro Arapiraca - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense	2:4 ✺
10.01.26	Penedense - Cruzeiro Arapiraca	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LLWLL
- CRB Maceio
Brazilian Campeonato Alagoano
24.01.26	CS Alagoano - CRB Maceio	1:1 ✺
21.01.26	CRB Maceio - Cruzeiro Arapiraca	1:0 ✺
18.01.26	Penedense - CRB Maceio	0:1 ✺
15.01.26	CRB Maceio - Murici	3:2 ✺
10.01.26	CRB Maceio - Clube Sociedade Esportiva	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Alagoano
21.01.26	CRB Maceio - Cruzeiro Arapiraca	1:0
18.02.24	CRB Maceio - Cruzeiro Arapiraca	1:0
15.01.23	CRB Maceio - Cruzeiro Arapiraca	2:1
29.01.22	CRB Maceio - Cruzeiro Arapiraca	1:0

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