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Current Win Probability
CS Alagoano 75.4%
Draw 17.3%
Cruzeiro Arapiraca 7.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
54.2%
25%
20.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
56.2%
24.1%
20.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
CS Alagoano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+21.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in CS Alagoano's performance.
Cruzeiro Arapiraca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cruzeiro Arapiraca might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for CS Alagoano than the current prediction. (-19.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with CS Alagoano that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cruzeiro Arapiraca than the current prediction. (+12.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cruzeiro Arapiraca could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
1. Diogo Silva (G) 10. Caique Valdivia 8. Danilo Pepa 4. Isaac 6. Jeferson Mendes 2. Kaique 11. Kelwin Silva de Oliveira E. 9. Lucas Santana 5. Pedro Lucas 7. Silva de Sousa L. 3. Wesley Pereira
Substitutes
12. Arthur Silveira (G) 13. Cadu 16. Felix Jorge 18. Igor Guilherme 27. Lucas Serafini 20. Matheus Melo 15. Pitbull R. 14. Ramon 26. Rian Santana 21. Robinho 22. Ronaldo Mendes 19. Samuel
20. Cristiano 14. Filipe Prior 18. Gabriel Silva R. 22. Galo M. 21. Gustavo (G) 19. Leandro Alves 13. Luigi 16. Mel 15. Nanry 17. Silva R. F. 12. Wendel (G) 33. Willamis (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
23', 1 - 0, Buba ⚽,
27', Isaac 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Matheus Souza ↓, Matheus Melo ↑,
46', Dudu Figueiredo ↓, Ronaldo Mendes ↑,
51', Ronaldo Mendes 🟨,
54', Jeferson Mendes 🟨,
59', 2 - 0, Ronaldo Mendes ⚽,
74', Silva de Sousa L. ↓, Mel ↑,
86', 🟨,
Preview
Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Alagoano (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 5).
CSA is Qualified for Alagoano (Play Offs Semi~finals)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, CSA won 5.
CSA is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Cruzeiro Arapiraca has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
CSA may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, CSA is the clear favorite.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, CSA won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 15:1. (average 2.1:0.1).
Including home matches between the teams, CSA won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:0. (average 2.2:0).
Brazil
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