Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie C - First stage - Round 2

Date: 28 April 2024, Sunday

Location: Estádio Rei Pelé (Maceió)


	CS Alagoano		Ferroviária

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.4	2.9	2.75
	2.45	3	2.8
	2.65	2.96	3.04
	2.65	2.79	3.04
	2.4	2.9	2.7
	2.49	2.89	2.78	Watch
	2.32	2.95	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.48 ↑ (2.44)	2.91 ↓ (2.95)	2.87 ↓ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

CS Alagoano
36.8%

Draw
31.4%

Ferroviária
31.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

31%

31.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1%

31.3%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CS Alagoano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Ferroviária has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for CS Alagoano than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

The ML Model estimate for Ferroviária aligns with the current prediction.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Thomazella (G) 3. Almir Luan 4. Bruno Cardoso 6. Guilherme Dal Pian 10. Gustavo Xuxa 9. Iury Tanque 8. Juninho Valoura (C) 2. Lucas Marques 11. Marquinhos 5. Pedro Favela 7. Vitor Leque	1. Saulo (C) 9. de Moura C. 3. Gustavo Medina 6. Igor Fernandes 4. Jackson 7. Juninho 2. Lucas Rodrigues 5. Ricardinho 10. Victor Andrade 11. Vitor Barreto 8. Xavier
Substitutes
20. Alan Pedro 16. Allyson 19. Buga 31. Deivity (G) 13. Eduardo Biazus 17. Erik 21. Jeffinho 18. Marlon 22. Miqueias 14. Raphinha 15. Wellington Carvalho 12. Yuri (G)	19. Antonio Gabriel 20. Danilo 12. Leo Wall (G) 13. Maycon 16. Modesto R. 18. Paulinho Santos 21. Pedro P. 14. Ronaldo Alves 22. Santos C. 17. Silva de Oliveira L. H. 15. Ze Mateus

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
4', 1 - 0, Iury Tanque ⚽,
10', Lucas Rodrigues 🟨,
19', 🟨,
21', 🟨,
26', 🟨,
28', 1 - 1, de Moura C. ⚽,
33', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
64', Victor Andrade ↓, Danilo ↑,
72', Ricardinho ↓, Ze Mateus ↑,
74', Juninho 🟨,
76', 🟨,
84', Vitor Barreto ↓, Antonio Gabriel ↑,
84', Juninho ↓, Silva de Oliveira L. H. ↑,
90+1', 🟨,
90+6', 🟨,

Preview

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Ferroviária could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CS Alagoano
Brazilian Serie C
20.04.24	Ypiranga - CS Alagoano	3:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Alagoano
11.04.24	CS Alagoano - Clube Sociedade Esportiva	1:2 ✺
07.04.24	Clube Sociedade Esportiva - CS Alagoano	0:2 ✺
Brazilian Copa Alagoas
03.04.24	Penedense - CS Alagoano	0:1 ✺
31.03.24	CS Alagoano - Penedense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LLWWT
- Associação Ferroviária de Esportes
Brazilian Serie C
22.04.24	Ferroviária - ABC	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
27.03.24	Ferroviária - CA Juventus	0:1 penalties ✺
24.03.24	CA Juventus - Ferroviária	1:1 ✺
16.03.24	Ferroviária - EC Primavera	1:1 ✺
09.03.24	São José-SP - Ferroviária	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 TLTTW

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