Match Info

Serie C - First stage - Round 5

Date: 11 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Estádio Rei Pelé (Maceió)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Nosso Futebol+, Sky+, Zapping


	CS Alagoano		Maringá

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.2	3	2.95
	2.29	2.95	3.1	Watch
	2.37	3.2	3.06
	2.36	3.07	3.16	Watch
	2.3	2.8	3
	2.26	3.04	3.06	Watch
	2.29	2.95	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↑ (2.2)	3 ↓ (3.1)	3.06 ↓ (3.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

CS Alagoano
39.8%

Draw
30.4%

Maringá
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.4%

29.4%

29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.3%

30%

28.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CS Alagoano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Maringá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for CS Alagoano than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maringá than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

CS Alagoano - Maringá Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gabriel Felix (G) 3. Betao 10. Brayann 5. Camacho (C) 6. Enzo 11. Guilherme Cachoeira 8. Gustavo Nicola 4. Islan 2. Marcao 7. Marcelinho 9. Tiago Marques	45. Rafael William (G) 7. Edison Negueba 10. Leo Ceara 25. Lucas Bonifacio 99. Maranhao 23. Max Miller 9. Moraes 22. Raphinha 3. Ronald Carvalho 13. Tito (C) 4. Vilar
Substitutes
18. Baianinho 20. Gabriel Vieira 17. Gustavinho 19. Igor Bahia 26. Kevyn 21. Klenisson 13. Luiz Gustavo 12. Paulo V. (G) 22. Ramon 16. Roberto 15. Silas 14. Vander	20. Bruno Cheron 5. Evanderson 19. Julio Rodrigues . Neto (G) 15. Parrudo 35. Pingo 33. Rhuan 11. Robertinho 36. Ronald Barcellos
Coaches
Higo	Jorge Castilho

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
13', Marcelinho 🟨,
21', 1 - 0, Guilherme Cachoeira ⚽,
35', 1 - 1, Edison Negueba ⚽,
37', Ronald Carvalho 🟨,
38', 1 - 2, Edison Negueba ⚽,
41', Raphinha 🟨,
45+4', Vilar 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Marcelinho ↓, Baianinho ↑,
46', Leo Ceara ↓, Bruno Cheron ↑,
51', Brayann ↓, Gabriel Vieira ↑,
51', Baianinho 🟨,
58', Ronald Carvalho ↓, Evanderson ↑,
64', Raphinha ↓, Robertinho ↑,
67', Tiago Marques ↓, Igor Bahia ↑,
67', Gustavo Nicola ↓, Vander ↑,
71', 2 - 2, Betao ⚽,
73', Vilar 🟨,
74', Maranhao 🟨,
76', Moraes ↓, Rhuan ↑,
76', Lucas Bonifacio ↓, Parrudo ↑,
76', Betao ↓, Gustavinho ↑,
86', 3 - 2, Igor Bahia ⚽,
90+7', Bruno Cheron ↓, Julio Rodrigues ↑,
90+8', Guilherme Cachoeira ↓, Luiz Gustavo ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )).

CSA has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Maringá is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Maringá may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CS Alagoano
Brazilian Serie C
04.05.25	Ypiranga - CS Alagoano	1:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
30.04.25	CS Alagoano - Grêmio	3:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie C
26.04.25	CS Alagoano - Náutico Capibaribe	2:1 ✺
21.04.25	ABC - CS Alagoano	1:1 ✺
12.04.25	CS Alagoano - Anápolis	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 LWWTT
- Maringá FC
Brazilian Serie C
03.05.25	Maringá - Confiança	3:2 ✺
Copa do Brasil
29.04.25	Maringá - Atlético Mineiro	2:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie C
26.04.25	Londrina - Maringá	1:1 ✺
20.04.25	Maringá - São Bernardo	1:0 ✺
13.04.25	Guarani - Maringá	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.7 WTTWW

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