Match Info

Serie C - First stage - Round 1

Date: 13 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Estádio Brinco de Ouro (Campinas)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	DAZN Brasil


	Guarani		Maringá

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.05	2.8	3.5
	2.2	2.85	3.4
	2.25	2.93	3.58	Watch
	2.1	2.75	3.6
	2.25	3.06	3.37	Watch
	2.2	2.85	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↑ (2.08)	2.87 ↓ (3.04)	3.48 ↑ (3.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guarani
42%

Draw
31.8%

Maringá
26.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.7%

30%

26.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guarani has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

The chances for Maringá have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Guarani - Maringá Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fred Conte (G) 10. Anderson Leite (C) 8. Caio Mello 6. Emerson 4. Lucao 2. Lucas Justen 5. Nathan Camargo 7. Pablo 11. Rafael Bilu 3. Raphael 9. Samuel	42. Rafael William (G) 14. Buga 2. Cristovam 7. Edison Negueba 10. Leo Ceara 99. Maranhao 23. Max Miller 9. Moraes 3. Ronald Carvalho (C) 13. Tito 4. Vilar
Substitutes
23. Cristiano 19. Deni Junior 12. Emerson Junior (G) 20. Giva 18. Isaque 21. Joao Victor 22. JP Galvao 16. Kaio Cristian 13. Leo Coltro 17. Luiz Miguel 15. Mateus Sarara 14. Titi	20. Bruno Cheron 32. Caua Tavares 12. Joao Gabriel (G) 19. Julio Rodrigues 28. Lucas Bonifacio 15. Parrudo 22. Raphinha 33. Rhuan 11. Robertinho

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
3', 1 - 0, Caio Mello ⚽,
25', Buga 🟨,
39', 1 - 1, Edison Negueba ⚽,
44', 1 - 2, Maranhao ⚽,
45+2', Max Miller 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Samuel ↓, Deni Junior ↑,
46', Anderson Leite ↓, Cristiano ↑,
54', Moraes 🟨,
55', Lucas Justen 🟨,
59', Nathan Camargo 🟨,
63', Cristovam 🟨,
65', 2 - 2, Rafael Bilu (Pen),
68', Lucas Justen ↓, JP Galvao ↑,
69', Cristovam ↓, Raphinha ↑,
74', Caio Mello ↓, Mateus Sarara ↑,
78', Moraes ↓, Julio Rodrigues ↑,
78', Max Miller ↓, Lucas Bonifacio ↑,
85', Buga ↓, Bruno Cheron ↑,
85', Pablo ↓, Joao Victor ↑,
85', Edison Negueba ↓, Rhuan ↑,
90', Bruno Cheron 🟥,
90+3', JP Galvao 🟨,
90+6', 2 - 3, Mateus Sarara (Own goal),

Preview

Recent matches Maringá is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Guarani will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guarani Futebol Clube
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
23.02.25	Corinthians - Guarani	2:2 ✺
19.02.25	Guarani - Velo Clube	1:1 ✺
16.02.25	São Bernardo - Guarani	1:0 ✺
13.02.25	Guarani - Grêmio Novorizontino	0:0 ✺
09.02.25	Ponte Preta - Guarani	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 TTLTL
- Maringá FC
Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
29.03.25	Operário Ferroviario - Maringá	2:1 penalties ✺
22.03.25	Maringá - Operário Ferroviario	2:2 ✺
19.03.25	Athletico Paranaense - Maringá	0:3 ✺
16.03.25	Maringá - Athletico Paranaense	1:1 ✺
09.03.25	Coritiba - Maringá	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.3 LTWTT

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