Match Info

Serie C - First stage - Round 4

Date: 3 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Estádio Willie Davids (Maringá)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Nosso Futebol+, Sky+, Zapping


	Maringá		Confiança

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.53	3.6	5.25
	1.48	3.8	6.2	Watch
	1.5	3.91	6.97
	1.52	3.78	6.98	Watch
	1.55	3.4	5.8
	1.45	3.76	6.87	Watch
	1.48	3.8	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.7)	3.72 ↑ (3.45)	6.32 ↑ (4.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Maringá
60.9%

Draw
24.6%

Confiança
14.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.8%

26.4%

19.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.6%

26%

19.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maringá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Maringá's performance.

Confiança has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Confiança might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maringá than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Maringá that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Confiança than the current prediction. (+5%)

Maringá - Confiança Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Maringá (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
42. Rafael William (G) 14. Buga 7. Edison Negueba 6. Joao Felix 10. Leo Ceara 99. Maranhao 9. Moraes 22. Raphinha 3. Ronald Carvalho (C) 13. Tito 4. Vilar	1. Rafael Mariano (G) 6. Airton 11. Breiner C. 8. Dionisio 4. Eduardo Moura 5. Fabio Silva (C) 7. Geovane 10. Luiz Otavio 3. Maicon 9. Ronald Camarao 2. Valdir Junior
Substitutes
20. Bruno Cheron 32. Caua Tavares 5. Evanderson 26. Fernando 19. Julio Rodrigues 28. Lucas Bonifacio 23. Max Miller 25. Neto (G) 15. Parrudo 35. Pingo 33. Rhuan 11. Robertinho	16. Alan Cardoso 12. Allan (G) 17. Fabricio Pereira 21. Felipe Clemente 13. Lucas Souza 15. Matheus Blade 19. Neto Oliveira 18. Rodriguinho 20. Thiago Santos 14. Weriton
Coaches
Jorge Castilho	Waguinho Dias

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Valdir Junior ⚽,
24', Buga 🟥,
32', Raphinha ↓, Lucas Bonifacio ↑,
35', Geovane 🟨,
44', 1 - 1, Moraes ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Geovane ↓, Neto Oliveira ↑,
46', Joao Felix ↓, Bruno Cheron ↑,
48', 1 - 2, Dionisio ⚽,
61', 2 - 2, Tito ⚽,
66', Ronald Camarao ↓, Fabricio Pereira ↑,
76', Airton ↓, Matheus Blade ↑,
76', Luiz Otavio ↓, Alan Cardoso ↑,
76', 3 - 2, Bruno Cheron ⚽,
83', Leo Ceara ↓, Evanderson ↑,
83', Edison Negueba ↓, Robertinho ↑,
83', Moraes ↓, Max Miller ↑,
86', Dionisio ↓, Felipe Clemente ↑,
90+5', Fabricio Pereira 🟨,
90+6', Felipe Clemente 🟨,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: ) and 14).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Maringá may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Maringá is a strong favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maringá FC
Copa do Brasil
29.04.25	Maringá - Atlético Mineiro	2:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie C
26.04.25	Londrina - Maringá	1:1 ✺
20.04.25	Maringá - São Bernardo	1:0 ✺
13.04.25	Guarani - Maringá	2:3 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
29.03.25	Operário Ferroviario - Maringá	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18 TTWWL
- AD Confiança Aracaju
Brazilian Serie C
26.04.25	Confiança - Ponte Preta	1:2 ✺
20.04.25	Confiança - Caxias	2:1 ✺
12.04.25	Botafogo PB - Confiança	3:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Sergipano
29.03.25	Confiança - Itabaiana	1:1 ✺
22.03.25	Itabaiana - Confiança	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWLTW

Upcoming Matches