Match Info

Serie D - Promotion - Play Offs - Final

Date: 3 September 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estádio Rei Pelé (Maceió) 🌤️ ...


	CS Alagoano		Nacional AM

	1	X	2
	1.50	3.60	5.75
	1.52	3.60	6.63
	1.57	3.46	6.16	Watch
	1.48	3.40	6.05
	1.59	3.28	7.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.67)	3.47 ↑ (3.3)	6.4 ↑ (5.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

CS Alagoano
59.5%

Draw
26.3%

Nacional AM
14.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

55%

27.8%

17.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52%

26.3%

18.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CS Alagoano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Nacional AM has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for CS Alagoano than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with CS Alagoano that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional AM than the current prediction. (+4%)

CS Alagoano - Nacional AM Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

First leg result: 1-3.

CSA has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Nacional AM is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, CSA is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, CSA won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CS Alagoano
Brazilian Serie D
27.08.26	Nacional AM - CS Alagoano	3:1 ✺
15.08.26	CS Alagoano - Uberlândia	0:2 ✺
26.07.26	CS Alagoano - São Luiz	2:1 ✺
19.07.26	São Luiz - CS Alagoano	0:0 ✺
13.07.26	CS Alagoano - Betim	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLWTW
- Nacional AM
Brazilian Serie D
27.08.26	Nacional AM - CS Alagoano	3:1 ✺
16.08.26	ABC - Nacional AM	1:0 ✺
25.07.26	Iguatu - Nacional AM	1:2 penalties ✺
18.07.26	Nacional AM - Iguatu	1:1 ✺
12.07.26	Capital CF Ltda - Nacional AM	1:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.2 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
27.08.26	Nacional AM - CS Alagoano	3:1

CS Alagoano - Nacional AM