Match Info

Serie D - Promotion - Play Offs - Final

Date: 27 August 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished


	Nacional AM		CS Alagoano

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Nacional AM
32.4%

Draw
34.7%

CS Alagoano
32.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

35%

31.9%

33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5%

31.5%

32.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nacional AM has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

CS Alagoano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional AM than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for CS Alagoano than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

First leg.

Nacional AM is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, CSA has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nacional AM
Brazilian Serie D
16.08.26	ABC - Nacional AM	1:0 ✺
25.07.26	Iguatu - Nacional AM	1:2 penalties ✺
18.07.26	Nacional AM - Iguatu	1:1 ✺
12.07.26	Capital CF Ltda - Nacional AM	1:1 penalties ✺
04.07.26	Nacional AM - Capital CF Ltda	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.8 LWTWW
- CS Alagoano
Brazilian Serie D
15.08.26	CS Alagoano - Uberlândia	0:2 ✺
26.07.26	CS Alagoano - São Luiz	2:1 ✺
19.07.26	São Luiz - CS Alagoano	0:0 ✺
13.07.26	CS Alagoano - Betim	4:0 ✺
04.07.26	Betim - CS Alagoano	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LWTWL

Nacional AM - CS Alagoano