Match Info

Serie D - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 16 August 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Maria Lamas Farache (Frasqueirao) (Natal) 🌤️ ...


	ABC		Nacional AM

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.10	4.40
	1.75	2.95	4.7
	1.81	3.1	4.93
	1.76	3.15	4.96	Watch
	1.77	2.8	4.8
	1.79	2.9	5.07
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (1.84)	3 ↓ (3.3)	4.81 ↑ (3.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

ABC
51%

Draw
30.1%

Nacional AM
18.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

49.5%

27.5%

23%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3%

27.4%

23.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ABC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Nacional AM has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for ABC than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional AM than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ABC - Nacional AM Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
34', 1 - 0, Wallyson (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

First leg result: 2-1.

In recent matches, ABC has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Nacional AM is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, ABC is considered a favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ABC FC
Brazilian Serie D
26.07.26	ABC - Luverdense	4:1 ✺
18.07.26	Luverdense - ABC	0:0 ✺
12.07.26	ABC - Águia de Marabá	3:0 ✺
04.07.26	Águia de Marabá - ABC	2:1 ✺
28.06.26	ABC - Altos	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WTWLT
- Nacional AM
Brazilian Serie D
25.07.26	Iguatu - Nacional AM	1:2 penalties ✺
18.07.26	Nacional AM - Iguatu	1:1 ✺
12.07.26	Capital CF Ltda - Nacional AM	1:1 penalties ✺
04.07.26	Nacional AM - Capital CF Ltda	1:0 ✺
28.06.26	Nacional AM - Araguaína	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.8 WTWWT

ABC - Nacional AM

Match Info

Current Win Probability

ABC - Nacional AM Predictions

Key Events of the Match

Preview

Form

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