Match Info
Serie D - Play Offs - 1/16-finalsDate: 12 July 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Capital CF Ltda |
|
Nacional AM |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.72 |
3.00 |
4.75 |
|
 |
1.70 |
3.05 |
5.15 |
|
 |
1.77 |
3.10 |
5.25 |
|
 |
1.79 |
3.04 |
5.02 |
 Watch |
 |
1.74 |
2.95 |
5.15 |
|
 |
1.80 |
3.33 |
4.69 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.75 ↓
(1.94) |
3.08 ↑
(3.07) |
5 ↑
(3.77) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Capital CF Ltda
52.1% | Draw
29.7% | Nacional AM
18.3% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML EstimationAnalysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Capital CF Ltda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Capital CF Ltda's performance.Nacional AM has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nacional AM might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Capital CF Ltda than the current prediction. (-4.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional AM than the current prediction. (+4.9%)Capital CF Ltda - Nacional AM Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH +0.75 - Nacional AM (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Nacional AM (votes: 1 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 16', 1 - 0, Renan Luis ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- Penalties (5 - 6)
- 1, Alison Mira (Penalty Awarded),
- 1, Renanzinho (Penalty Awarded),
- 2, Rodriguinho (Penalty Awarded),
- 2, Caio Mancha (Penalty Awarded),
- 3, Eder Lima (Penalty Awarded),
- 3, Miliano (Penalty Awarded),
- 4, Cesinha (Penalty Awarded),
- 4, Luan (Penalty Awarded),
- 5, Mateus Anderson (Penalty Awarded),
- 5, Erick Varao (Penalty Awarded),
- 6, Yann Rolim (Penalty Awarded),
- 6, Ryan Luka (Penalty Awarded),
- 7, Renan Luis (Penalty Awarded),
- 7, (Penalty Awarded),
- 8, Deysinho (Penalty Awarded),
- 8, (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
First leg result: 0-1.Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.Capital may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, Capital is seen as the favorite.In the last 1 head-to-head match, Capital won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
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