Match Info

Date: 14 May 2022, Saturday

Location: Estádio Rei Pelé (Maceió)

Referee: Lopez D. (Bra)


	CS Alagoano		Operário Ferroviario

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.3	4.8
	1.79	3.15	4.5
	1.68	3.35	5.2
	1.75	3.47	5.62
	1.75	3.2	5
	1.77	3.42	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (2.21)	3.32 ↑ (2.9)	5.02 ↑ (3.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

CS Alagoano
53.4%

Draw
28.1%

Operário Ferroviario
18.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.1%

32.1%

25.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9%

30.8%

24.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CS Alagoano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in CS Alagoano's performance.

Operário Ferroviario has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Operário Ferroviario might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for CS Alagoano than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with CS Alagoano that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Operário Ferroviario than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Operário Ferroviario could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	40%	10%

CS Alagoano - Operário Ferroviario Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. CSA will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Operário PR will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for CSA: 19% – 81%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 15 and 9).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Operário Ferroviario could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

CSA will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches CSA won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-7.

Including matches at home between the teams CSA won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CS Alagoano
Copa do Brasil
10.05.22	América Mineiro - CS Alagoano	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
07.05.22	Vasco da Gama - CS Alagoano	1:0 ✺
04.05.22	CS Alagoano - Criciúma	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Alagoano
02.05.22	CS Alagoano - Cruzeiro Arapiraca	3:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
30.04.22	CS Alagoano - Sport Recife	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLTWW
- Operário Ferroviario
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
08.05.22	Rabo de Peixe - Operário Ferroviario	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
07.05.22	Operário Ferroviario - Criciúma	2:0 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
01.05.22	Operário Ferroviario - Praiense	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
30.04.22	Sampaio Corrêa - Operário Ferroviario	1:1 ✺
27.04.22	Operário Ferroviario - Grêmio	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
23.10.21	CS Alagoano - Operário Ferroviario	2:4
17.07.21	Operário Ferroviario - CS Alagoano	0:2
24.11.20	CS Alagoano - Operário Ferroviario	1:0
18.08.20	Operário Ferroviario - CS Alagoano	3:0

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