Match Info

Date: 30 April 2022, Saturday


	Sampaio Corrêa		Operário Ferroviario

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.45	2.85	3
	2.63	2.75	2.8
	2.49	2.85	2.95
	2.59	2.83	3.41
	2.55	2.75	3.1
	2.57	2.9	3.08	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 ↓ (2.68)	2.82 ↓ (2.89)	3.06 ↓ (3.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sampaio Corrêa
36.6%

Draw
33%

Operário Ferroviario
30.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.9%

33.3%

30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7%

35%

29.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sampaio Corrêa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Operário Ferroviario has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sampaio Corrêa than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Operário Ferroviario than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	30%	30%

Sampaio Corrêa - Operário Ferroviario Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Sampaio Corrêa will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Operário PR will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sampaio Corrêa: 9.6% – 70.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Sampaio Corrêa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Sampaio Corrêa won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Sampaio Corrêa won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sampaio Corrêa
Brazilian Serie B
26.04.22	Bahia - Sampaio Corrêa	1:0 ✺
23.04.22	Sampaio Corrêa - Brusque	3:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Maranhense
20.04.22	Sampaio Corrêa - Cordino	1:0 penalties ✺
Brazilian Serie B
16.04.22	Sampaio Corrêa - Tombense	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Maranhense
13.04.22	Cordino - Sampaio Corrêa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWWTT
- Operário Ferroviario
Brazilian Serie B
27.04.22	Operário Ferroviario - Grêmio	0:1 ✺
24.04.22	Náutico Capibaribe - Operário Ferroviario	2:0 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
24.04.22	Sporting Ideal - Operário Ferroviario	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
16.04.22	Operário Ferroviario - Ponte Preta	2:0 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
10.04.22	Operário Ferroviario - Rabo de Peixe	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
11.09.21	Sampaio Corrêa - Operário Ferroviario	0:0
16.06.21	Operário Ferroviario - Sampaio Corrêa	1:0
11.12.20	Operário Ferroviario - Sampaio Corrêa	1:1
12.09.20	Sampaio Corrêa - Operário Ferroviario	0:1

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