Match Info

Copa Betano do Brasil - 1/8-finals

Date: 7 August 2025, Thursday

Location: Sao Januário (Rio de Janeiro)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping


	Vasco da Gama		CS Alagoano

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.33	7
	1.39	4.2	6.75
	1.43	4.25	6.9
	1.46	4.27	7.59
	1.43	4.00	8.33	Watch
	1.4	4.2	7
	1.45	4.35	7.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.46)	4.23 ↓ (4.26)	7.3 ↑ (6.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vasco da Gama
65.2%

Draw
22%

CS Alagoano
12.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64%

21.9%

14.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.1%

21.6%

14.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vasco da Gama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

CS Alagoano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vasco da Gama than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for CS Alagoano than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	12.5%	25%

Vasco da Gama - CS Alagoano Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Vasco will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). CSA will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Leo Jardim (G) 96. Paulo Henrique 25. Hugo Moura 43. Lucas Freitas 6. Lucas Piton 3. Tche Tche 8. Jair 10. Coutinho 77. Rayan 99. Vegetti P. 17. Moreira N.	1. Gabriel Felix (G) 2. Felipe Albuquerque 4. Islan 3. Betao 6. Enzo 5. Camacho (C) 8. Gustavo Nicola 7. Silas 10. Brayann 11. Guilherme Cachoeira 9. Tiago Marques
Substitutes
90. Alex Teixeira 45. Augusto L. 13. Daniel Fuzato (G) 7. David 15. Garre B. 4. Lemos M. 85. Mateus Carvalho 18. Paulinho Paula 2. Rodriguez J. 20. Sforza J. 23. Thiago Mendes 12. Victor Luis	21. Baianinho 14. Diogo Batista 12. Georgemy (G) 19. Igor Bahia 13. Leo Costa 20. Luciano Naninho 22. Luiz Gustavo 17. Marcelinho 18. Ramon 16. Roberto 99. Robinho 15. Vander
Coaches
Fernando Diniz	Marcio Fernandes

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, Rayan ⚽,
31', 2 - 0, Coutinho ⚽,
45+1', 3 - 0, Tche Tche ⚽, Lucas Piton (A),
45+2', Tche Tche 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Silas ↓, Baianinho ↑,
49', 3 - 1, Brayann ⚽, Guilherme Cachoeira (A),
57', Baianinho 🟨,
64', Camacho 🟨,
66', Coutinho ↓, David ↑,
66', Moreira N. ↓, Garre B. ↑,
70', Guilherme Cachoeira ↓, Marcelinho ↑,
79', Tiago Marques ↓, Igor Bahia ↑,
79', Camacho ↓, Leo Costa ↑,
83', Tche Tche ↓, Thiago Mendes ↑,
89', Thiago Mendes 🟨,
90', Brayann ↓, Luciano Naninho ↑,
90', Jair ↓, Mateus Carvalho ↑,
90', Rayan ↓, Rodriguez J. ↑,

Preview

1st leg result: 0-0. 2nd leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vasco won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, Vasco is the obvious favorite.

There will not play in Vasco: Adson (Broken Leg)

There will not play in CSA: Jackson (Inactive)

There are questionable in Vasco: GB (Muscle Injury)

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Vasco won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Vasco won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Vasco da Gama - the odds 1.46 are the expected chance of winning is 64.01%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vasco da Gama
Brazilian Serie A
02.08.25	Mirassol - Vasco da Gama	3:2 ✺
Copa do Brasil
30.07.25	CS Alagoano - Vasco da Gama	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
27.07.25	Internacional RS - Vasco da Gama	1:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
22.07.25	Vasco da Gama - Independiente del Valle	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
19.07.25	Vasco da Gama - Grêmio	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LTTTT
- CS Alagoano
Brazilian Serie C
02.08.25	CS Alagoano - Botafogo PB	2:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
30.07.25	CS Alagoano - Vasco da Gama	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie C
26.07.25	Londrina - CS Alagoano	3:1 ✺
20.07.25	CS Alagoano - Figueirense	1:1 ✺
14.07.25	Retrô Brasil - CS Alagoano	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WTLTT

Latest Head to Head

Copa do Brasil
30.07.25	CS Alagoano - Vasco da Gama	0:0
Brazilian Serie B
18.08.22	CS Alagoano - Vasco da Gama	2:0
07.05.22	Vasco da Gama - CS Alagoano	1:0
29.10.21	Vasco da Gama - CS Alagoano	1:3
21.07.21	CS Alagoano - Vasco da Gama	2:2
Brazilian Serie A
10.11.19	CS Alagoano - Vasco da Gama	0:3
04.08.19	Vasco da Gama - CS Alagoano	0:0

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