Match Info

Date: 18 August 2022, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: National Stadium Vasil Levski (Sofia) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Strukan D. (Cro)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Slovakia	19:00	Arena sport 2


	CSKA Sofia		Basel

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.25	2.2	Watch
	3.2	3.1	2.25
	3.25	3.25	2.3
	3.15	3.25	2.25
	3.52	3.16	2.25
				Watch
	3.16	3.32	2.16	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.23 ↑ (3)	3.22 ↑ (3.2)	2.24 ↓ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

CSKA Sofia
29%

Draw
29.1%

Basel
41.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

30.8%

28.9%

40.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.3%

30.4%

42.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CSKA Sofia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Basel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for CSKA Sofia than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Basel than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
19.4%	20.9%	59.7%

CSKA Sofia - Basel Predictions

Users Predictions: 67 users predict this event. CSKA Sofia will win (votes: 13 - 19.4%). Basel will win (votes: 40 - 59.7%). It will Tie (votes: 14 - 20.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Basel: 48% – 71.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

1st leg.

CSKA Sofia is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Basel is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Basel could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently CSKA Sofia have a series of home games.

Basel will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches CSKA Sofia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CSKA Sofia
Bulgarian Parva Liga
14.08.22	CSKA Sofia - Septemvri Sofia	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
11.08.22	St Patricks Athletic - CSKA Sofia	0:2 ✺
04.08.22	CSKA Sofia - St Patricks Athletic	0:1 ✺
Bulgarian Parva Liga
31.07.22	CSKA Sofia - Beroe Stara Zagora	5:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
28.07.22	CSKA Sofia - Makedonija Gjorče Petrov	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWLWW
- FC Basel
Swiss Super League
14.08.22	Basel - Lugano	0:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
11.08.22	Basel - Brøndby	3:1 penalties ✺
Swiss Super League
07.08.22	Basel - Young Boys	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
04.08.22	Brøndby - Basel	1:0 ✺
28.07.22	Crusaders - Basel	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWTLT

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
01.10.20	Basel - CSKA Sofia	1:3

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CSKA Sofia
Bulgarian Parva Liga
31.10.26	CSKA Sofia - Slavia Sofia	✺
- FC Basel
Swiss Super League
01.11.26	Lugano - Basel	✺

CSKA Sofia - Basel