Match Info

Super League - Round 32

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday

Location: St. Jakob-Park (Basel)

Where to Watch on TV:


Serbia	Arena Sport 1x2, Arena Sport 8
Switzerland	Blue Sport 6, Blue Sport 6, Blue Sport D1, Blue Sport D1, RSI La 2, RTS 2, RTS 2, RTS Sport, RTS Sport, SRF 2, SRF 2, SRF Play, SRF Play, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Ukraine	Sport 1
World	Sport 1 Baltic


	Basel		Young Boys

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.7	3	Watch
	2.18	3.6	2.88
	2.25	3.77	3.09
	1.37	4.31	10.01	Watch
	2.15	3.4	2.9
	2.15	3.7	3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↓ (2.4)	3.75 ↓ (3.78)	4.15 ↑ (2.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Basel
49.2%

Draw
26.7%

Young Boys
24.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.8%

24.6%

36.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5%

24.4%

36.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Basel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Basel's performance.

Young Boys has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Young Boys might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Basel than the current prediction. (-10.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Basel that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Young Boys than the current prediction. (+12.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Young Boys could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36.4%	45.5%	18.2%

Basel - Young Boys Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Basel will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Young Boys will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 45.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 16.1% – 74.9%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hitz M. (G) 3. Vouilloz N. 4. Omeragic B. 24. Daniliuc F. 31. Schmid D. 22. Leroy L. 5. Metinho 21. Salah I. 10. Shaqiri X. (C) 11. Traore B. 23. Ajeti Al.	1. Keller M. (G) 17. Janko S. 5. Wuthrich G. 30. Lauper S. 23. Benito L. (C) 37. Gigovic A. 6. Fernandes E. 16. Fassnacht C. 10. Sanches A. 77. Monteiro J. 99. Essende S.
Substitutes
43. Akahomen M. 14. Bacanin A. 29. Cisse M. 18. Duranville J. 8. Koindredi K. 37. Koloto G. 27. Ruegg K. 13. Salvi M. (G) 19. Soticek M.	29. Bedia C. 33. Bukinac S. 11. Colley E. 12. Lindner H. (G) 39. Males D. 13. Pech D. 22. Valery Y. 7. Virginius A. 4. Zoukrou T.
Coaches
Lichtsteiner S.	Seoane G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
22', Janko S. 🟨,
27', 0 - 1, Fernandes E. ⚽, Gigovic A. (A),
29', Lichtsteiner S. 🟨,
29', Fernandes E. 🟨,
36', 1 - 1, Lauper S. (Own goal),
41', 2 - 1, Shaqiri X. ⚽, Traore B. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
62', Monteiro J. 🟨,
64', Fassnacht C. ↓, Virginius A. ↑,
64', 2 - 2, Daniliuc F. (Own goal),
68', 3 - 2, Traore B. ⚽,
74', Metinho 🟨,
74', Leroy L. ↓, Bacanin A. ↑,
74', Ajeti Al. ↓, Koloto G. ↑,
74', Shaqiri X. ↓, Koindredi K. ↑,
77', Janko S. ↓, Valery Y. ↑,
77', Benito L. ↓, Bukinac S. ↑,
81', Traore B. ↓, Soticek M. ↑,
88', Gigovic A. ↓, Colley E. ↑,
89', Fernandes E. ↓, Pech D. ↑,
90', 3 - 3, Colley E. ⚽, Essende S. (A),
90+4', Schmid D. ↓, Cisse M. ↑,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )).

Basel is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )

Young Boys is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Basel won 1.

Basel has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Young Boys is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Basel may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Basel: Kaio Eduardo (Knee Injury) Tsunemoto K. (Injury) van Breemen F. (Red Card)

There will not play in Young Boys: Andrews R. (Muscle Injury) Conte F. (Knee Injury) Hadjam J. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Basel: Omeragic B. (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Basel won 3 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 22:41. (average 1.1:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Basel won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:12. (average 1.4:1.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Young Boys	9	5	4	0	31:18	13	19
6	Basel	9	4	1	4	17:17	0	13

Last Results with these Odds

Basel - the odds 2.4 are the expected chance of winning is 38.76%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Basel
Club Friendly
26.03.26	Basel - Vaduz	2:5 ✺
Swiss Super League
22.03.26	Winterthur - Basel	0:2 ✺
15.03.26	Basel - Servette	3:1 ✺
08.03.26	St. Gallen - Basel	3:0 ✺
05.03.26	Basel - Grasshoppers	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWWLW
- Young Boys
Swiss Super League
22.03.26	Young Boys - Lugano	1:1 ✺
15.03.26	Lausanne-Sport - Young Boys	0:2 ✺
08.03.26	Young Boys - Thun	1:2 ✺
04.03.26	Luzern - Young Boys	1:2 ✺
01.03.26	Young Boys - Zürich	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Swiss Super League
02.11.25	Young Boys - Basel	0:0
06.08.25	Basel - Young Boys	4:1
18.05.25	Young Boys - Basel	6:2
16.03.25	Basel - Young Boys	1:2
30.10.24	Young Boys - Basel	3:2
06.10.24	Basel - Young Boys	1:0
10.03.24	Young Boys - Basel	5:1

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