Match Info

Liga Premier Serie A - Round 20

Date: 20 February 2026, Friday


	Cañoneros Marina		Pioneros de Cancún

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.19	2
	3.65	3.61	1.87
	3.6	3.1	1.91
	3.9	3.38	1.82
	3.75	3.66	1.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.63 ↓ (3.75)	3.39 ↓ (3.66)	1.86 ↑ (1.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cañoneros Marina
24.8%

Draw
26.6%

Pioneros de Cancún
48.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.6%

24.1%

52.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.9%

23.3%

54%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cañoneros Marina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Pioneros de Cancún has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cañoneros Marina than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pioneros de Cancún than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pioneros de Cancún could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Cañoneros Marina - Pioneros de Cancún Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
18', 0 - 1, ⚽,
25', 0 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
81', 1 - 2, ⚽,
90+2', 2 - 2, ⚽,
Penalties (5 - 4)
1, (Penalty Awarded),
1, (Penalty Awarded),
2, (Penalty Awarded),
2, (Penalty Awarded),
3, (Penalty Awarded),
3, (Penalty Awarded),
4, (Penalty Awarded),
4, (Penalty Awarded),
5, (Penalty Awarded),
5, (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cañoneros won 2.

Cañoneros is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Pioneros de Cancún has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Pioneros de Cancún may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Pioneros de Cancún is seen as the favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Cañoneros won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:14. (average 1.2:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Cañoneros won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 1:2.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cañoneros Marina
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
14.02.26	Jaguares de Chiapas - Cañoneros Marina	1:0 ✺
06.02.26	Cañoneros Marina - Montañeses	0:0 ✺
31.01.26	Inter Playa Del Carmen - Cañoneros Marina	1:0 ✺
17.01.26	Celaya - Cañoneros Marina	3:0 ✺
09.01.26	Cañoneros Marina - Chapulineros de Oaxaca	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LTLLL
- Pioneros de Cancún
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
07.02.26	Pioneros de Cancún - Jaguares de Chiapas	2:0 ✺
01.02.26	Montañeses - Pioneros de Cancún	1:0 ✺
24.01.26	Pioneros de Cancún - Inter Playa Del Carmen	1:1 ✺
16.01.26	Héroes de Zaci - Pioneros de Cancún	0:2 ✺
10.01.26	Pioneros de Cancún - Celaya	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
04.10.25	Pioneros de Cancún - Cañoneros Marina	1:2
Mexican Liga Premier Serie B
18.03.23	Pioneros de Cancún - Cañoneros Marina	5:2
22.10.22	Cañoneros Marina - Pioneros de Cancún	3:2 penalties
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
27.02.21	Pioneros de Cancún - Cañoneros Marina	1:0
31.10.20	Cañoneros Marina - Pioneros de Cancún	0:1
16.11.19	Cañoneros Marina - Pioneros de Cancún	0:4

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