Match Info

Primera Premier - Round 8

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Pioneros de Cancún		Jaguares de Chiapas

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.50	3.26
	2.16	3.47	2.98	Watch
	2.09	3.25	2.95
	2.06	3.40	3.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↓ (2.12)	3.41 ↓ (3.5)	3.06 ↑ (3.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pioneros de Cancún
43.5%

Draw
26.7%

Jaguares de Chiapas
29.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

43.4%

26.3%

30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.6%

25.3%

29.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pioneros de Cancún has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Jaguares de Chiapas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pioneros de Cancún than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jaguares de Chiapas than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Pioneros de Cancún - Jaguares de Chiapas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
44', (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

An intriguing matchup between an upper-bracket team and a mid-table rival (ranked 1st in the Promotion - Primera Premier Playoffs and 4th in the Promotion - Primera Premier Playoffs).

Pioneros de Cancún arrives with excellent momentum after picking up several victories (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

Performances by Chiapas have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Pioneros de Cancún holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Pioneros de Cancún has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 5:7 (averaging 1.3:1.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Pioneros de Cancún against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 2:2 goals (averaging 1:1 per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pioneros de Cancún
Mexican Primera Premier
10.10.26	Deportiva Venados - Pioneros de Cancún	1:4 ✺
03.10.26	Pioneros de Cancún - Montañeses	2:1 ✺
25.09.26	Chapulineros de Oaxaca - Pioneros de Cancún	1:3 ✺
19.09.26	Pioneros de Cancún - Tapachula Soconusco	5:1 ✺
07.09.26	Inter Playa Del Carmen - Pioneros de Cancún	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.1 WWWWW
- Jaguares de Chiapas
Mexican Primera Premier
10.10.26	Jaguares de Chiapas - Inter Playa Del Carmen	1:0 ✺
05.10.26	Celaya - Jaguares de Chiapas	0:1 ✺
28.09.26	Jaguares de Chiapas - Racing de Veracruz	1:1 ✺
12.09.26	Deportiva Venados - Jaguares de Chiapas	2:0 ✺
05.09.26	Jaguares de Chiapas - Montañeses	2:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
07.02.26	Pioneros de Cancún - Jaguares de Chiapas	2:0
20.09.25	Jaguares de Chiapas - Pioneros de Cancún	4:2
22.02.25	Pioneros de Cancún - Jaguares de Chiapas	0:2
16.10.24	Jaguares de Chiapas - Pioneros de Cancún	1:1

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pioneros de Cancún
Mexican Primera Premier
31.10.26	Tritones Vallarta - Pioneros de Cancún	✺

Pioneros de Cancún - Jaguares de Chiapas