Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 10 - ROUND 17

Date: 14 January 2024, Sunday


	Cabecense		Ciudad de Lucena

	1	X	2
	5.5	3.4	1.55
	5.62	3.24	1.59
	5.62	3.24	1.6
	6.42	3.44	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.79 ↓ (6.45)	3.33 ↓ (3.53)	1.58 ↑ (1.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cabecense
15.6%

Draw
27.1%

Ciudad de Lucena
57.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.9%

25.4%

60.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.5%

24.7%

62.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cabecense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Ciudad de Lucena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cabecense than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ciudad de Lucena than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ciudad de Lucena could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 13 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 10 (Play Offs: )).

Recent matches Cabecense is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ciudad de Lucena is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Ciudad de Lucena is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Cabecense won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 1-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Cabecense won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Cabecense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
23.12.23	Ayamonte - Cabecense	1:2 ✺
17.12.23	Cabecense - Coria CF	0:0 ✺
06.12.23	La Palma - Cabecense	2:2 ✺
02.12.23	Cabecense - Xerez Deportivo	0:4 ✺
26.11.23	Bollullos - Cabecense	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WTTLL
- CD Ciudad de Lucena
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
23.12.23	Ciudad de Lucena - Ceuta B	1:0 ✺
17.12.23	Xerez CD - Ciudad de Lucena	1:1 ✺
06.12.23	Ciudad de Lucena - Córdoba B	0:2 ✺
02.12.23	Espeleño - Ciudad de Lucena	2:3 ✺
26.11.23	Ciudad de Lucena - Gerena	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
13.02.22	Ciudad de Lucena - Cabecense	1:0
17.10.21	Cabecense - Ciudad de Lucena	1:2
22.02.19	Cabecense - Ciudad de Lucena	0:3
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
29.04.18	Ciudad de Lucena - Cabecense	1:0

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