Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 10 - ROUND 15

Date: 17 December 2023, Sunday


	Xerez CD		Ciudad de Lucena

	1	X	2
	2.65	2.75	2.6
	2.67	2.79	2.6
	2.68	2.79	2.6
	2.74	2.7	2.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.69 ↑ (2.4)	2.76 ↑ (2.75)	2.64 ↓ (3.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Xerez CD
33.4%

Draw
32.5%

Ciudad de Lucena
34%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.7%

32.9%

29.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.9%

34.8%

27.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Xerez CD has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Ciudad de Lucena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Xerez CD than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Xerez CD, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ciudad de Lucena than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ciudad de Lucena, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Xerez CD - Ciudad de Lucena Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 10 (Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Xerez CD won 1.

Recent matches Xerez CD is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ciudad de Lucena is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Xerez CD won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 14-17.

Including matches at home between the teams Xerez CD won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Xerez CD
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
03.12.23	Xerez CD - Coria CF	3:0 ✺
26.11.23	La Palma - Xerez CD	3:3 ✺
19.11.23	Xerez CD - Xerez Deportivo	1:2 ✺
12.11.23	Bollullos - Xerez CD	3:2 ✺
05.11.23	Xerez CD - Puente Genil	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WTLLW
- CD Ciudad de Lucena
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
06.12.23	Ciudad de Lucena - Córdoba B	0:2 ✺
02.12.23	Espeleño - Ciudad de Lucena	2:3 ✺
26.11.23	Ciudad de Lucena - Gerena	2:0 ✺
19.11.23	Sevilla C - Ciudad de Lucena	0:2 ✺
12.11.23	Ayamonte - Ciudad de Lucena	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
22.01.23	Xerez CD - Ciudad de Lucena	0:1
25.09.22	Ciudad de Lucena - Xerez CD	2:1
07.05.22	Xerez CD - Ciudad de Lucena	2:3 ET
05.03.22	Xerez CD - Ciudad de Lucena	3:0
07.11.21	Ciudad de Lucena - Xerez CD	1:0
08.05.21	Ciudad de Lucena - Xerez CD	1:0
21.04.21	Xerez CD - Ciudad de Lucena	0:0

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