The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Xerez CD 46.6%
Draw 30%
Ciudad de Lucena 23.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
44.8%
28.2%
26.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45.1%
28.4%
26.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Xerez CD has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
Ciudad de Lucena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Xerez CD than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ciudad de Lucena than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
Xerez CD - Ciudad de Lucena Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
89', 0 - 1, Garcia S. ⚽,
Preview
An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 13th in the Segunda RFEF - Play Out and 3rd in the Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Promotion Play Offs).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Xerez won 0.
Xerez has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Ciudad de Lucena shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Ciudad de Lucena may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Xerez holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 14 head-to-head meetings, Xerez has recorded 2 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 15:18 (averaging 1.1:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Xerez against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, with 11:11 goals (averaging 1.4:1.4 per game).
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