Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 16

Date: 15 December 2024, Sunday


	Cacereño		Navalcarnero

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.2	4.5
	1.72	3.25	4.33
	1.73	3.3	4.6
	1.8	3.28	4.68
	1.74	3.28	4.77	Watch
	1.75	3.4	4.66
	1.73	3.3	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (1.76)	3.29 ↑ (3.27)	4.59 ↑ (4.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cacereño
52.4%

Draw
27.8%

Navalcarnero
19.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.7%

27.9%

20.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.1%

27.2%

19.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cacereño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Navalcarnero has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cacereño than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Navalcarnero than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Cacereño - Navalcarnero Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
14', 1 - 0, Martinez C. (Pen),
33', 1 - 1, Herrero E. ⚽,
36', 2 - 1, Sarmiento J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
65', 3 - 1, Alvaro Merencio ⚽,
75', Calvo L. 🟨,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 11).

Cacereño is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Navalcarnero is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Cacereño is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Cacereño won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:1 (average 1.3:0.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Cacereño won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:0 (average 1.5:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CP Cacereño
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
08.12.24	Coria - Cacereño	1:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
05.12.24	Cacereño - Atlético Madrid	1:3 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
30.11.24	Cacereño - Illescas	2:0 ✺
24.11.24	Conquense - Cacereño	1:4 ✺
17.11.24	Cacereño - Rayo Majadahonda	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 TLWWW
- CDA Navalcarnero
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
08.12.24	Navalcarnero - Talavera de la Reina	1:4 ✺
01.12.24	CD Guadalajara - Navalcarnero	2:0 ✺
24.11.24	Navalcarnero - Melilla	2:2 ✺
17.11.24	Atlético Paso - Navalcarnero	1:1 ✺
10.11.24	Navalcarnero - Colonia Moscardó	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLTTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
14.01.24	Navalcarnero - Cacereño	0:2
03.09.23	Cacereño - Navalcarnero	2:0
29.01.23	Navalcarnero - Cacereño	1:0
11.09.22	Cacereño - Navalcarnero	1:0

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