Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 4

Date: 20 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Principe Felipe (Cáceres)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+


	Cacereño		Mérida AD

	1	X	2
	2.5	2.75	2.8
	2.62	2.92	2.78
	2.57	3.1	2.9
	2.62	2.91	2.85	Watch
	2.59	2.93	2.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.58 ↑ (2.33)	2.92 ↓ (3.03)	2.82 ↓ (2.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cacereño
35.7%

Draw
31.6%

Mérida AD
32.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

30%

30.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.4%

30.5%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cacereño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Mérida AD has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cacereño than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mérida AD than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Cacereño - Mérida AD Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Nieves D. (G) 22. Hernandez E. 2. Martinez I. 4. Crespo A. 5. de Diego J. 17. Berlanga M. 8. Deco (C) 10. Hyjek J. 7. Fernandez I. 19. Gomez C. 11. Sanchidrian R.	1. Csenterics A. (G) 19. Pipe 5. Dominguez J. 3. Lancho J. 23. Verges E. 11. Areso J. 17. Herranz Corral V. 21. Beneit R. 6. Miki 10. Doncel C. 9. Garcia A.
Substitutes
3. Barrio J. 23. Elsamni O. 9. Gomez D. 20. Gonzalez C. 16. Gutierrez D. 13. Martinez I. (G) 21. Morales A. 25. Munoz Luis P. (G) 6. Rementeria U. 18. Sanchis R. 24. Valdera R. 15. Vicente I.	14. Artola J. 13. Cacharron P. (G) 16. Capitas M. 7. Chiqui 18. Dibrani B. 12. Gomes R. 20. Jacobo R. 15. Martinez G. 4. Pareja Alvarez L. 24. Pereira R. 22. Rivas M. 8. Solar M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
44', Pipe 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
47', 1 - 0, Deco ⚽,
56', Miki ↓, Solar M. ↑,
56', Herranz Corral V. ↓, Chiqui ↑,
62', 1 - 1, Areso J. ⚽,
66', Berlanga M. ↓, Gomez D. ↑,
66', Gomez C. ↓, Gonzalez C. ↑,
73', Areso J. ↓, Dibrani B. ↑,
79', Fernandez I. ↓, Morales A. ↑,
79', Hyjek J. ↓, Sanchis R. ↑,
83', 2 - 1, Sanchidrian R. ⚽,
87', Beneit R. ↓, Pereira R. ↑,
87', Sanchidrian R. ↓, Vicente I. ↑,
87', Pipe ↓, Artola J. ↑,
90+5', Deco 🟥,
90+5', 🟨,
90+8', 🟨,

Preview

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Recently, Cacereño has had a series of away games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cacereño won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.6:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Cacereño won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CP Cacereño
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
14.09.25	Cacereño - Arenteiro	0:2 ✺
06.09.25	Arenas Club de Getxo - Cacereño	2:2 ✺
30.08.25	Pontevedra - Cacereño	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
16.08.25	CD Extremadura - Cacereño	1:2 ✺
09.08.25	Alcorcón - Cacereño	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 LTTWT
- Mérida AD
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
13.09.25	Mérida AD - Celta de Vigo B	2:4 ✺
06.09.25	Tenerife - Mérida AD	3:0 ✺
30.08.25	Mérida AD - Barakaldo	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
22.08.25	Unionistas de Salamanca - Mérida AD	2:5 ✺
15.08.25	Santa Amalia - Mérida AD	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
12.08.23	Cacereño - Mérida AD	0:0
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
24.04.22	Cacereño - Mérida AD	1:2
05.12.21	Mérida AD - Cacereño	0:1
Club Friendly
22.08.21	Cacereño - Mérida AD	0:3
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
04.11.18	Cacereño - Mérida AD	1:1

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