Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 8

Date: 20 October 2024, Sunday


	Cacereño		San Sebastian Reyes

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.1	3.3
	2.1	3	3.2
	2.13	3.1	3.25
	2.08	3	3.7
	2.06	3.07	3.61	Watch
	2.07	3.16	3.53
	2.13	3.1	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↑ (2.01)	3.08 ↓ (3.2)	3.41 ↓ (3.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cacereño
43.5%

Draw
29.7%

San Sebastian Reyes
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.1%

28.3%

26.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.7%

29.3%

25.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cacereño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

San Sebastian Reyes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cacereño than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Sebastian Reyes than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Cacereño - San Sebastian Reyes Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
11', 0 - 1, Gonzalez M. ⚽,
45+2', 0 - 2, Herrero A. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
54', 1 - 2, Salinas A. ⚽,
68', 2 - 2, Martinez C. ⚽,
82', 2 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 8 and 12).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Cacereño could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Cacereño will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Cacereño won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3 (average 1:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Cacereño won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CP Cacereño
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
13.10.24	Tenerife B - Cacereño	4:1 ✺
06.10.24	Talavera de la Reina - Cacereño	2:2 ✺
29.09.24	Cacereño - CD Guadalajara	0:0 ✺
22.09.24	Melilla - Cacereño	0:0 ✺
15.09.24	Cacereño - Atlético Paso	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LTTTW
- San Sebastian Reyes
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
13.10.24	San Sebastian Reyes - Talavera de la Reina	3:1 ✺
05.10.24	CD Guadalajara - San Sebastian Reyes	6:0 ✺
29.09.24	San Sebastian Reyes - Melilla	2:0 ✺
22.09.24	Atlético Paso - San Sebastian Reyes	0:0 ✺
15.09.24	San Sebastian Reyes - Colonia Moscardó	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
11.02.24	San Sebastian Reyes - Cacereño	1:1
01.10.23	Cacereño - San Sebastian Reyes	1:2

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