The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Talavera de la Reina 43.8%
Draw 30.8%
Cacereño 25.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.4%
30%
25.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.4%
25.3%
30.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Talavera de la Reina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
Cacereño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Talavera de la Reina than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Talavera de la Reina that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cacereño than the current prediction. (+5%)
Talavera de la Reina - Cacereño Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Gonzalez J. (G) 23. Farrando M. 5. Molina S. 4. Lopez A. 3. Roig A. 19. Gomez V. 8. Sanchez L. 16. Navarro I. 6. Pitu 11. Gallardo Rodriguez E. (C) 7. Di Renzo G.
1. Nieves D. (G) 22. Hernandez E. 3. Barrio J. 2. Martinez Munoz I. 5. de Diego J. 8. Deco (C) 16. Gutierrez D. 17. Berlanga M. 20. Gonzalez C. 7. Fernandez I. 19. Gomez C.
Substitutes
15. Arroyo N. 10. Ayllon I. 18. Capo P. 2. Cuenca D. 14. Molina A. 21. Montero Sergio 9. Moreno M. 13. Rocafort R. (G) 32. Torres A. (G)
4. Crespo A. 9. Gomez D. 13. Martinez Marti I. (G) 21. Morales A. 6. Rementeria U. 18. Sanchis R. 15. Sanvi 24. Valdera R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, Gomez C. ⚽,
30', Deco 🟨,
30', Deco ↓, Rementeria U. ↑,
36', Navarro I. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Sanchez L. ↓, Molina A. ↑,
46', Farrando M. ↓, Moreno M. ↑,
51', Molina S. ↓, Montero Sergio ↑,
61', Gonzalez C. ↓, Sanchis R. ↑,
61', Rementeria U. 🟨,
68', Fernandez I. ↓, Gomez D. ↑,
68', Gomez C. ↓, Sanvi ↑,
71', Hernandez E. 🟨,
77', Molina S. 🟨,
86', Roig A. ↓, Cuenca D. ↑,
Preview
We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 19 in the zone Relegation).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Talavera won 0.
Talavera is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Cacereño is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Talavera may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Talavera has had a series of away games.
Talavera will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Talavera won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:13. (average 1.3:1.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Talavera won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 1.5:2).
Spain
Watch
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Gonzalez J. (G) 
Di Renzo G. 
Sanvi 
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