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Current Win Probability
Caen 44.2%
Draw 27.2%
Bastia 28.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.7%
27.9%
34.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.1%
26.9%
33.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Caen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Caen's performance.
Bastia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bastia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caen than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Caen that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bastia than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
25%
25%
Caen - Bastia Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Caen will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Bastia will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 1.5 - over (1.23) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
16. Clementia Y. (G) 19. Lamouliatte H. 4. Mbaka S. 23. Carole L. 3. Bolumbu D. 6. Kimboma J. 25. Bagbema Z. 22. Hafid M. 24. Milliner L. 20. Portut K. 9. El Khoumisti F.
1. De Percin T. (G) 13. Melieres C. 2. Zilliox N. 28. Akueson G. (C) 4. Roncaglia A. 22. Monnier I. 12. Belal L. 23. Garnier E. 17. Eickmayer J. 7. Rodrigues C. 9. Tomi F.
Substitutes
12. Appiah D. 18. Bomo F. 27. El Idrissi M. A. 11. Gnanduillet A. 34. Kanoute D. 8. Noireau-Dauriat S. 40. Tutu R. (G)
16. Contena S. (G) 25. Diarra D. 34. Djedje D. 35. Douce N. 66. Janneh J. 14. Tamba D. 18. Zaouai A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, Rodrigues C. ⚽, Tomi F. (A),
27', Kimboma J. 🟨,
45', Bolumbu D. 🟨,
45', Melieres C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Kimboma J. ↓, El Idrissi M. A. ↑,
58', Carole L. ↓, Appiah D. ↑,
61', Monnier I. 🟨,
74', Belal L. 🟨,
75', Melieres C. ↓, Douce N. ↑,
75', Garnier E. ↓, Diarra D. ↑,
78', Portut K. ↓, Noireau-Dauriat S. ↑,
78', Lamouliatte H. ↓, Bomo F. ↑,
85', Belal L. ↓, Tamba D. ↑,
85', Rodrigues C. ↓, Zaouai A. ↑,
85', Mbaka S. ↓, Gnanduillet A. ↑,
90+6', Appiah D. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Caen won 4.
Caen is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Bastia's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
Recently, Caen has had a series of home games.
Caen might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Caen won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 22:16. (average 1.4:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Caen won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:3. (average 1.6:0.4).
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Clementia Y. (G) 
Lamouliatte H. 
Mbaka S. 
Kimboma J. 
Hafid M. 
Akueson G. (C) 
Garnier E. 
Bomo F. 
Gnanduillet A. 
Noireau-Dauriat S. 
Diarra D. 
Janneh J. 
Tamba D. 
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