Match Info

National - Round 31

Date: 24 April 2026, Friday

Location: Stade Michel d'Ornano (Caen)

Where to Watch on TV:


World	FIFA+


	Caen		Villefranche

	1	X	2
	1.77	3.4	3.9
	1.75	3.55	4.15
	1.73	3.86	4.88
	1.81	3.38	4.11	Watch
	1.7	3.4	4
	1.66	3.62	4.52	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (1.77)	3.54 ↑ (3.47)	4.26 ↑ (4.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caen
52.7%

Draw
25.9%

Villefranche
21.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.6%

26.3%

22.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.7%

25.8%

21.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Villefranche has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

The ML Model estimate for Caen aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villefranche than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	66.7%	0%

Caen - Villefranche Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Caen will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Clementia Y. (G) 3. Bolumbu D. 6. M'Vila Y. (C) 23. Morante L. 17. Labonne R. 25. Bagbema Z. 14. Rajot L. 19. Botella I. 5. Dali Amar B. 22. Hafid M. 9. Duville-Parsemain A.	1. Pean S. (G) 6. Bayeye B. J. 4. Tshibuabua M. 5. Kabeya E. 25. Ouedraogo S. 8. Marcel V. 11. Assef M. (C) 7. Louzif M. 18. Keita S. 24. Touho M. 22. Etoga L.
Substitutes
26. Etuin M. 11. Gnanduillet A. 24. Milliner L. 32. Portut K. 21. Tome G.	29. Matip Ngom T. 10. Mroivili R. 19. Nagera K. 20. Sofiane Y. 16. Wilzius T. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Duville-Parsemain A. ⚽, M'Vila Y. (A),
19', 2 - 0, Rajot L. ⚽,
33', Assef M. ↓, Mroivili R. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', Etoga L. 🟨,
60', Dali Amar B. ↓, Milliner L. ↑,
66', Keita S. ↓, Nagera K. ↑,
66', Etoga L. ↓, Matip Ngom T. ↑,
73', Duville-Parsemain A. ↓, Gnanduillet A. ↑,
73', Hafid M. ↓, Portut K. ↑,
74', 3 - 0, Botella I. ⚽, Portut K. (A),
76', Touho M. 🟨,
84', Botella I. ↓, Tome G. ↑,
90+2', Rajot L. 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 and 9).

Caen is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

In recent matches, Villefranche has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Caen is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Caen won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Caen	9	5	0	4	17:12	5	15
18	Villefranche	9	1	1	7	7:22	-15	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SM Caen
French Ligue 3
17.04.26	Bourg-Péronnas - Caen	0:2 ✺
10.04.26	Paris 13 Atletico - Caen	0:3 ✺
03.04.26	Caen - Stade Briochin	1:1 ✺
27.03.26	Rouen FC - Caen	1:1 ✺
21.03.26	Caen - Orleans	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WWTTT
- FC Villefranche
French Ligue 3
17.04.26	Villefranche - Paris 13 Atletico	3:1 ✺
10.04.26	Stade Briochin - Villefranche	0:0 ✺
03.04.26	Villefranche - Rouen FC	2:1 ✺
27.03.26	Orleans - Villefranche	0:0 ✺
20.03.26	Villefranche - Le Puy	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 WTWTL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
05.12.25	Villefranche - Caen	1:1

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