Match Info

National - Round 26

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Stade Michel d'Ornano (Caen)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DAZN App
Ecuador	DAZN App
France	FFF TV
Mexico	DAZN App
Paraguay	DAZN App
Peru	DAZN App
World	FIFA+


	Caen		Orleans

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.1	2.7
	2.78	3.15	2.42
	2.89	3.3	2.49
	2.78	3.3	2.33	Watch
	2.7	2.9	2.38
	2.8	3.32	2.44	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↑ (2.66)	3.18 ↑ (3.07)	2.46 ↓ (2.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caen
33.9%

Draw
28.9%

Orleans
37.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.4%

29.8%

35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.6%

30%

35.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Orleans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caen than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orleans than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Caen - Orleans Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mandrea A. (G) 18. Henry V. 28. Sagnan S. 27. Debohi D. 17. Labonne R. 31. Kimboma J. 6. M'Vila Y. (C) 22. Hafid M. 19. Botella I. 24. Milliner L. 9. Duville-Parsemain A.	1. Faham F. (G) 28. Luyambula S. 27. Lemaitre M. 5. Sylla M. (C) 6. Kebe K. 23. Mouton E. 21. Diako M. 22. Morel J. 7. Sanchez Da Silva F. 19. Legendre R. 9. El Khoumisti F.
Substitutes
25. Bagbema Z. 34. Diakite A. 11. Gnanduillet A. 32. Portut K. 14. Rajot L.	11. Berthier G. 17. Bozkurt C. 8. Giraudon J. 10. Khous G. 29. Obiang J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
22', Luyambula S. ↓, Obiang J. ↑,
25', Kimboma J. 🟨,
26', 0 - 1, El Khoumisti F. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
47', 1 - 1, Botella I. ⚽, Labonne R. (A),
48', Botella I. 🟨,
49', Khous G. 🟨,
67', 🟨,
67', Sylla M. 🟨,
74', 🟨,
75', Legendre R. ↓, Bozkurt C. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 5).

Caen has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Orleans is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Caen won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 1.5:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Caen won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Caen	9	5	0	4	17:12	5	15
14	Orleans	9	2	3	4	7:11	-4	9

Last Results with these Odds

Orleans - the odds 2.56 are the expected chance of winning is 35.76%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SM Caen
French Ligue 3
13.03.26	Le Puy - Caen	1:0 ✺
06.03.26	Caen - Châteauroux	2:2 ✺
28.02.26	Valenciennes - Caen	2:1 ✺
20.02.26	Caen - Sochaux	1:3 ✺
13.02.26	Dijon - Caen	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LTLLT
- US Orleans
French Ligue 3
13.03.26	Orleans - Paris 13 Atletico	2:1 ✺
06.03.26	Stade Briochin - Orleans	1:3 ✺
28.02.26	Orleans - Rouen FC	1:1 ✺
20.02.26	Bourg-Péronnas - Orleans	0:3 ✺
13.02.26	Le Puy - Orleans	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WWTWT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
17.10.25	Orleans - Caen	2:1
Club Friendly
14.07.21	Orleans - Caen	1:3
French Ligue 2
01.11.19	Caen - Orleans	2:1
Club Friendly
06.10.16	Caen - Orleans	0:0

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