Match Info

National - Round 27

Date: 27 March 2026, Friday

Location: Stade Robert Diochon (Rouen)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	BFM Normandie, FFF TV
World	FIFA+


	Rouen FC		Caen

	1	X	2
	1.78	3.35	4.25
	1.79	3.7	5.02
	1.74	3.42	4.41
	1.67	3.3	4.4
	1.65	3.5	4.83	Watch
	1.82	3.2	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (1.82)	3.41 ↑ (3.2)	4.52 ↑ (4.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rouen FC
52.7%

Draw
26.9%

Caen
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

28.4%

21.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.6%

27.5%

20.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rouen FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Caen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rouen FC than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caen than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
53.8%	30.8%	15.4%

Rouen FC - Caen Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Rouen FC will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). Caen will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 30.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rouen FC: 26.7% – 80.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Temperton A. (G) 5. Genton E. 23. Bouzamoucha S. 18. Bassin C. (C) 26. Goumot E. 6. Benzia M. 17. Renel S. 3. Cartillier A. 14. Faye S. 21. Ba-Sy A. 27. Seydi I.	16. Clementia Y. (G) 27. Debohi D. (C) 26. Etuin M. 28. Sagnan S. 18. Henry V. 31. Kimboma J. 24. Milliner L. 17. Labonne R. 22. Hafid M. 19. Botella I. 9. Duville-Parsemain A.
Substitutes
8. Bezzekhami O. 15. Fuss V. 11. Kerouedan A. 1. Maraval A. (G) 10. Rocha Santos K.	25. Bagbema Z. 34. Diakite A. 11. Gnanduillet A. 32. Portut K. 14. Rajot L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
28', 0 - 1, Labonne R. ⚽, Hafid M. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Faye S. ↓, Fuss V. ↑,
46', Renel S. ↓, Rocha Santos K. ↑,
47', Goumot E. 🟨,
51', Etuin M. 🟨,
55', 1 - 1, Rocha Santos K. ⚽,
60', Henry V. ↓, Rajot L. ↑,
64', Labonne R. 🟨,
67', Genton E. ↓, Bezzekhami O. ↑,
75', Duville-Parsemain A. ↓, Gnanduillet A. ↑,
75', Botella I. ↓, Bagbema Z. ↑,
78', Ba-Sy A. ↓, Kerouedan A. ↑,
83', Milliner L. ↓, Diakite A. ↑,
84', Hafid M. ↓, Portut K. ↑,
90', Kimboma J. 🟥,
90+7', Rocha Santos K. 🟨,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 2 (Promotion: ) and 10).

Rouen FC has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Caen is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Rouen FC is considered a favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Rouen FC won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Rouen	9	6	2	1	17:5	12	20
7	Caen	9	5	0	4	17:12	5	15

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rouen FC
French Ligue 3
20.03.26	Paris 13 Atletico - Rouen FC	0:0 ✺
13.03.26	Rouen FC - Stade Briochin	3:2 ✺
06.03.26	Bourg-Péronnas - Rouen FC	3:1 ✺
28.02.26	Orleans - Rouen FC	1:1 ✺
20.02.26	Rouen FC - Le Puy	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 TWLTT
- SM Caen
French Ligue 3
21.03.26	Caen - Orleans	1:1 ✺
13.03.26	Le Puy - Caen	1:0 ✺
06.03.26	Caen - Châteauroux	2:2 ✺
28.02.26	Valenciennes - Caen	2:1 ✺
20.02.26	Caen - Sochaux	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 TLTLL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
21.10.25	Caen - Rouen FC	1:1
Club Friendly
09.07.13	Caen - Rouen FC	0:0

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