Match Info

Cymru South - Round 4

Date: 21 August 2026, Friday


	Caerau Ely		Pure Swansea

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.35	2.85
	2.09	3.59	2.88
	2.2	3.68	2.91	Watch
	2.04	3.5	2.8
	2.1	3.52	2.93
	2	3.75	2.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↑ (2.07)	3.57 ↓ (3.73)	2.87 ↑ (2.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caerau Ely
43.2%

Draw
25.3%

Pure Swansea
31.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.4%

24.1%

32.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caerau Ely has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Pure Swansea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Caerau Ely - Pure Swansea Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Bishop L. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 5)
57', 1 - 1, Hughes J. ⚽,
67', 1 - 2, Coughlin C. ⚽,
73', 1 - 3, Gibbings B. ⚽,
76', 1 - 4, Gibbings B. ⚽,
79', 🟥,
79', Woodiwiss J. 🟥,
90+5', 1 - 5, Copp K. ⚽,

Preview

Caerau has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Caerau may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Pure Swansea	8	6	2	0	25:6	19	20
4	Caerau Ely	9	5	1	3	21:18	3	16

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Caerau Ely
Welsh Cymru South
14.08.26	Trethomas Bluebirds - Caerau Ely	2:4 ✺
07.08.26	Caerau Ely - Ynyshir Albions	1:1 ✺
01.08.26	Carmarthen Town - Caerau Ely	4:3 ✺
Club Friendly
03.07.26	Caerau Ely - Croesyceiliog	5:1 ✺
30.06.26	Caerau Ely - Cardiff Corries	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 WTLWT
- Pure Swansea FC
Welsh Cymru South
15.08.26	Pure Swansea - Llanelli	3:0 ✺
01.08.26	Llantwit Major - Pure Swansea	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WW

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