Match Info

Date: 30 October 2026, Friday ⏱️ In 2d 14h 📅 Remind Me


	Caerphilly Athletic		Caerau Ely

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.7	2.05
	2.87	3.73	2.18	Watch
	2.82	3.82	2.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.8 ↑ (2.74)	3.75 ↓ (3.85)	2.09 ↑ (2.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caerphilly Athletic
32.4%

Draw
24.2%

Caerau Ely
43.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

32.9%

23.4%

43.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.8%

23.3%

43.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caerphilly Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Caerau Ely has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caerphilly Athletic than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caerau Ely than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Caerphilly Athletic - Caerau Ely Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A mid-table host welcomes one of the top contenders in an exciting contest (ranked 10th and 4th).

Caerphilly has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Caerau is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Caerphilly could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Caerau is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Caerau Ely	11	6	1	4	22:20	2	19
10	Caerphilly	11	4	2	5	15:20	-5	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Caerphilly Athletic
Welsh Cymru South
23.10.26	Carmarthen Town - Caerphilly Athletic	1:3 ✺
09.10.26	Caerphilly Athletic - Newport City	3:2 ✺
03.10.26	Pure Swansea - Caerphilly Athletic	3:1 ✺
25.09.26	Caerphilly Athletic - Pontypridd United	1:2 ✺
12.09.26	Caerphilly Athletic - Aberystwyth Town	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWLLL
- Caerau Ely
Welsh Cymru South
23.10.26	Caerau Ely - Llantwit Major	0:2 ✺
Welsh FA Cup
16.10.26	Caerau Ely - Llanelli	6:0 ✺
Welsh Cymru South
10.10.26	Aberystwyth Town - Caerau Ely	0:1 ✺
02.10.26	Caerau Ely - Afan Lido	2:0 ✺
26.09.26	Cardiff Draconians - Caerau Ely	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LWWWW

Caerphilly Athletic - Caerau Ely